TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca33…918cbacked Yes6c11,562$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.421241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c9,826$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.415679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes7c9,738$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1720238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes9c9,616$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Yes1c8,870$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1422.4%1 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-95.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes5c8,116$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.561216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes9c7,831$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7281421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c5,549$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7221227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes46c3,661$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.199053.3%48 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes10c3,398$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3518629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5708…1d51backed Yes3c3,312$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c3,233$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94611.6%1 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes36c2,857$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.3113435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7134…8febbacked Yes1c2,760$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.13120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes6c2,629$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes6c2,612$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.063735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c2,288$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8423024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes3c2,134$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.515024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes3c2,088$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.361444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3a7…e661backed No55c2,051$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.913522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No64c1,971$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7322434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes8c1,932$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.311547%54 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes1c1,866$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.194158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes3c1,794$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.616219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes5c1,656$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes2c1,400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.35824.1%14 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes4c1,400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2280%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c1,308$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.57910.1%8 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes3c1,246$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1911837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes5c1,165$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.92674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Yes28c1,027$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.355855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes20c1,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0811454.4%62 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…8382backed Yes27c925.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes4c908.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.77478.5%4 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x638e…2a7dbacked Yes3c812.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.131526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes6c784.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.124712.8%6 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes25c777$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2534349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes5c713.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63370%0 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes2c698.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7240%0 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes6c525.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…83bdbacked Yes8c511.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Yes10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes16c499.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…178bbacked Yes5c481.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa618…4ce3backed Yes5c481$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes4c457.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b97…3241backed Yes6c430.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbb…c0d4backed Yes6c430.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.553540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf74…5bffbacked Yes5c408.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x331b…193fbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes3c399.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511933.6%40 W · 79 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed7…f005backed Yes5c392.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No72c392.38$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.765930.5%18 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes5c389.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2529439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes5c372.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes25c365.73$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4110434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes7c356.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes5c352.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.96270%0 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes4c331.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+102.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes4c305.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+99.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf939…2e92backed Yes35c288.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No71c282$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.612272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes6c277.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.068535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60f4…f275backed Yes15c270.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes19c246$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6748847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x134e…b62cbacked Yes5c240.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f2…d8efbacked No61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6e…1156backed Yes34c192.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No55c177.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2418427.7%51 W · 133 L-18.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes23c176.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65d7…1f7fbacked Yes20c175.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Yes7c174.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.476165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes41c162.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.22425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed No65c155.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.136349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.634334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes55c136$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7622053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes16c135$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.96333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1804…bd47backed No57c129.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes33c120.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes44c116.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8932347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfb…a2a2backed Yes30c113.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2072…1201backed Yes28c107.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-64.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207631.6%24 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd496…9c86backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb317…1893backed Yes53c94.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No49c91.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8528151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked Yes29c89.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.643860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3814…f0bfbacked No61c89.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No75c81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.13145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…d1f6backed Yes25c70.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5736826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a5…94b7backed No66c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes21c57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18d…a24abacked Yes50c48.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.979948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.78771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.