TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cbb…c0d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9457.4%54 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.14
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.43
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+151%+$37.76
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+46%+$10.11
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST7247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+145.4%+$29.07
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+126.7%+$107.7
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Devils vs. Canucksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$34.5
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+114.9%+$45.96
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$189.82
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+375.3%+$1,411.48
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$29.94
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$389.77
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+64.1%+$29.49
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$262.26
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$302.26
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.4%+$22.23
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$345.34
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$92.46
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72.61
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+67.6%+$20.28
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$109.15
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+55.9%+$30.73
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$486.58
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$182.95
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+183%+$73.19
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.2%+$5.13
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+32.6%+$34.23
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+27.2%+$6.94
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36.07
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+79.5%+$27.68
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.47
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.66
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.