College Football · resolved market
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33dedb90825583bcd0630d4e75764a455e77ebad0f5a1cb1c90cfe4bf06d4024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof Arizona, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,507,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,548,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,507,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 414,765$226,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,874.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked Arizona | 45c | 200,127$89,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,862.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Arizona | 44c | 197,126$86,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,610.73 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Arizona | 0c | 127,644$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.66 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 84,019$46,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,864.29 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Arizona | 46c | 72,866$33,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,340.06 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Arizona | 45c | 61,293$27,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,581.65 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Arizona | 46c | 56,057$25,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,509.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 44,520$24,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,974.48 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Arizona | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Arizona | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 34,328$18,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,134.13 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed SMU Mustangs | 54c | 29,557$15,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,596.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 28,500$15,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,540 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona | 2c | 25,563$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.95 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Arizona | 48c | 23,565$11,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,305.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Arizona | 1c | 23,055$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.92 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arizona | 46c | 22,522$10,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,303.35 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed SMU Mustangs | 71c | 21,591$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,340.91 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Arizona | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Arizona | 46c | 19,521$9,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,006.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Arizona | 3c | 17,897$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs | 66c | 16,589$10,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,711.15 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 15,248$8,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.64 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Arizona | 0c | 15,204$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 12,867$6,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,255.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Arizona | 2c | 10,140$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Arizona | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…8469backed Arizona | 1c | 7,840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 6,788$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.58 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed SMU Mustangs | 54c | 6,570$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed SMU Mustangs | 54c | 6,472$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Arizona | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arizona | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona | 51c | 4,979$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.82 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona | 44c | 4,727$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.77 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked SMU Mustangs | 69c | 4,155$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…6babbacked Arizona | 37c | 4,108$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Arizona | 45c | 4,007$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Arizona | 0c | 3,853$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Arizona | 9c | 3,624$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed SMU Mustangs | 54c | 3,405$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.7 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona | 46c | 3,378$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.68 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 3,373$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Arizona | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed SMU Mustangs | 73c | 2,902$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Arizona | 3c | 2,832$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Arizona | 5c | 2,761$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Arizona | 9c | 2,671$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Arizona | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona | 25c | 2,436$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.46 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Arizona | 39c | 2,408$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Arizona | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 2,265$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.53 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked Arizona | 45c | 2,200$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona | 50c | 2,158$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Arizona | 44c | 2,049$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona | 32c | 2,043$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.43 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Arizona | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Arizona | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Arizona | 1c | 2,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…6c8cbacked Arizona | 50c | 1,995$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 1,990$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.62 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Arizona | 4c | 1,913$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…4661backed Arizona | 50c | 1,886$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…c4d1backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 1,877$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ba…9dbdbacked Arizona | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Arizona | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona | 5c | 1,688$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Arizona | 43c | 1,672$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 1,514$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.29 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Arizona | 50c | 1,469$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.5 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Arizona | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Arizona | 15c | 1,408$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Arizona | 18c | 1,392$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 1,360$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.54 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona | 44c | 1,358$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.18 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 1,075$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.25 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Arizona | 3c | 1,072$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 1,047$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arizona | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Arizona | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 910.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona | 4c | 872.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed SMU Mustangs | 61c | 863.69$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.56 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Arizona | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Arizona | 2c | 822.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…cd13backed Arizona | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 784.79$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed SMU Mustangs | 47c | 784.54$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.17 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…8e31backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 772$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…0364backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 770$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsthis page
- Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: 1H MoneylineSMU Mustangs won
- Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5Under won
- Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 54.5Under won
- Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 55.5Under won
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona (-1.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: Arizona (-2.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: Arizona (-3.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: Arizona (-3.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-2.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.