TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b9c…57b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.9%+$1,219.26
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25,509.68
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+34.4%+$12,873.17
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+193%+$33,624.77
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5,758.75
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$5,378.53
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,589Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$7,367.35
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+103.2%+$1,316.03
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,521.82
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,941.96
Minnesota vs. Virginia Techbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,893Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+27.9%+$527.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,964.18
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+94.5%+$2,900.17
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$7,980.03
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,586Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+87.7%+$1,391.5
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$237.39
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$281.39
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,663Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$2,402.3
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45,249.67
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20,547Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.9%+$6,968.22
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,113.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$404.67
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$196.21
East Carolina Pirates vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+218.2%+$194.31
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.33
Jackson State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+82.3%+$1,970.31
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,774Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$693.57
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,079.46
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,066.53
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Air Force Falconsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$299.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19,350.32
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,464Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42.8%+$1,482.55
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,755.84
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$105.34
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+25%+$224.53
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,612Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+98.9%+$3,571.29
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$4,359.16
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+101%+$7,132.42
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$5,413
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9,288.16
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+119.9%+$2,951.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,129.27
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$225.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$99.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.