NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50050a036348c883059a075279173c98d5559958e40e09500669ce93ed180e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Magic, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,612,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,717,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,612,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 38c | 96,746$36,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,085.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Bulls | 37c | 90,428$33,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,285.79 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Magic | 67c | 67,289$45,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,249.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 54c | 50,664$27,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,496.84 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Bulls | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,999.96 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Magic | 56c | 43,124$24,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,235.79 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Magic | 63c | 32,706$20,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,603.96 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3b…10eebacked Bulls | 38c | 30,519$11,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,030.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 62c | 30,511$18,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,833.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Bulls | 52c | 29,860$15,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,338.72 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 63c | 25,995$16,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,478.98 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Magic | 63c | 22,562$14,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,214.09 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Bulls | 37c | 19,097$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,031.3 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 38c | 16,355$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,088.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 44c | 15,775$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,760.52 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 58c | 15,330$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.46 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 63c | 15,188$9,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,528.75 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls | 37c | 12,409$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,775.08 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Bulls | 41c | 11,918$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.58 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 63c | 11,219$7,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.06 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 64c | 11,219$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 61c | 10,881$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,637.41 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 62c | 10,454$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,505.82 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Magic | 64c | 10,013$6,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,408.32 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Bulls | 31c | 10,000$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,877.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Bulls | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.97 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bulls | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.95 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 63c | 9,873$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.82 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Magic | 64c | 9,450$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Magic | 62c | 9,035$5,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,601.93 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 8,290$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Magic | 48c | 8,000$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.67 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Magic | 52c | 8,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.97 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 38c | 7,985$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 32c | 7,154$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.63 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 64c | 6,953$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.51 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 63c | 6,925$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.75 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls | 49c | 6,528$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.7 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Bulls | 39c | 6,047$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.64 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 62c | 6,046$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Magic | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Magic | 63c | 5,420$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Bulls | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.16 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Bulls | 39c | 5,234$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 38c | 5,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Bulls | 36c | 5,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.94 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…7897backed Bulls | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…337bbacked Magic | 64c | 4,169$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…7aa1backed Magic | 63c | 4,100$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bulls | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.97 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 34c | 3,751$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Magic | 63c | 3,509$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.65 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 61c | 3,460$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.43 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Magic | 64c | 3,381$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Magic | 63c | 3,362$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.7 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bulls | 37c | 3,355$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.34 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 38c | 3,194$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Bulls | 28c | 3,130$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.43 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Magic | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Magic | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 17c | 3,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.2 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…5030backed Bulls | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 36c | 2,890$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.28 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…f1bcbacked Magic | 63c | 2,800$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls | 54c | 2,783$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.91 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Bulls | 77c | 2,612$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.76 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bulls | 29c | 2,600$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.25 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Magic | 63c | 2,540$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Bulls | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Magic | 64c | 2,448$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.72 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…335cbacked Magic | 63c | 2,389$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Bulls | 37c | 2,380$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bulls | 51c | 2,363$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.36 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bulls | 36c | 2,353$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.92 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.16 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…0bedbacked Magic | 62c | 2,159$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…49efbacked Bulls | 38c | 2,148$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 40c | 2,102$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.73 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…2113backed Magic | 63c | 2,100$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Magic | 52c | 2,079$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.75 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 64c | 2,037$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Magic | 5c | 2,020$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Magic | 33c | 2,017$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Magic | 64c | 2,013$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.13 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Magic | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Magic | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bulls | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Bulls | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…ccedbacked Magic | 66c | 1,988$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Magic | 7c | 1,955$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 63c | 1,943$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Bulls | 39c | 1,878$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Magic | 59c | 1,860$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.19 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Magic | 76c | 1,857$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.97 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…b821backed Bulls | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…40e1backed Bulls | 39c | 1,794$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 2c | 1,757$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Bullsthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Bulls won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.