TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb080…5edd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
316
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST16246.9%76 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$100.8
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+122.2%+$157.3
Golden Knights vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$85.5
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$155.04
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$230
Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$291.63
Canucks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$495.49
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$168.4
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$378
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$137.8
Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,071.84
Utah vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$484.57
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,290.66
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$219.49
Canadiens vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$707.02
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$523.68
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,341.54
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,841.43
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,414.57
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$694.76
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,112.08
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT8540%34 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.22
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$737.9
Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+127.3%+$17.36
Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$77.29
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$360.87
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$719.34
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$323.4
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$764
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$660
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,566.72
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$273.42
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$432.96
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.01
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$76.4
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$248.5
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$715.4
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$119.86
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$799.13
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$289.63
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$293.48
Colts vs. Texans: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$783.02
Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$265
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$422.4
Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$122.5
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,727.42
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$127.5
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$265
Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$30.38
1H Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
Giants vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$155
Giants vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$122.75
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$370
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$117.5
Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44.16
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$220
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$115
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$245
1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$83.19
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.78
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.35
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$105.79
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.55
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$223.53
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$198.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.