NFL · resolved market

Bears vs. Eagles

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f46b40cef32be892a2620f2aada017e0a763db6e0eb36709af3738f755effa

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bearsof Bears, Eagles
Resolved: Nov 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,543,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,566,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,543,687 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Bears	25c	669,000$165,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503,526.75	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Bears	45c	549,621$249,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299,865.67	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Eagles	37c	507,617$188,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188,495.44	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Eagles	75c	276,035$205,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205,659.96	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Bears	25c	265,000$67,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197,749.96	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Eagles	8c	259,780$20,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,385.19	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Eagles	75c	257,113$193,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193,454.96	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles	44c	148,463$65,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,208.6	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Eagles	75c	143,585$107,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,689.07	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bears	40c	126,573$50,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,026.57	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Eagles	75c	125,000$93,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,750	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Bears	24c	119,999$29,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90,799.3	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bears	30c	111,749$33,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,219.47	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bears	54c	100,178$54,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,921.93	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Eagles	76c	85,400$64,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,484.99	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Eagles	75c	56,846$42,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,634.4	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Eagles	75c	55,408$41,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,609.67	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Eagles	74c	53,533$39,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,614.56	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bears	26c	51,381$13,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,221.85	174	54.6%95 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bears	71c	50,608$35,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,711	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Bears	68c	40,777$27,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,918.46	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Bears	61c	37,933$23,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,630.04	181	56.9%103 W · 78 L	+11.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Eagles	5c	33,507$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.41	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Eagles	76c	32,895$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bears	53c	30,000$15,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,100	246	52%128 W · 118 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bears	24c	30,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,799.99	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+134.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles	75c	28,360$21,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,250.29	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Bears	59c	27,491$16,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,336.48	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Bears	52c	26,288$13,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,555.6	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eagles	63c	25,815$16,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,157.23	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Eagles	74c	24,528$18,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,042.35	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Eagles	75c	23,996$17,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,996.96	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Bears	26c	23,731$6,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,606.96	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Eagles	11c	23,030$2,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,421.02	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Eagles	76c	22,933$17,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,428.98	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Eagles	60c	22,370$13,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,463.94	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Eagles	1c	22,366$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.83	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8370…033bbacked Bears	31c	22,308$6,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,435.44	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+3.6wins	+0.40per pick	38cpaid	+143.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Eagles	68c	21,845$14,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,826.08	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Bears	25c	21,476$5,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,107	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Bears	59c	21,060$12,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,592.48	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Bears	56c	20,768$11,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,067.68	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Eagles	75c	20,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Bears	26c	20,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,900	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles	75c	20,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Eagles	74c	20,000$14,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,799.81	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Eagles	47c	19,437$9,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,101.68	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9105…97f2backed Eagles	40c	18,832$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Bears	46c	18,710$8,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,158.96	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Bears	65c	17,639$11,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,189.44	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Bears	53c	17,304$9,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,152.17	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Eagles	6c	16,876$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.29	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3444…46a1backed Eagles	37c	16,594$6,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,167.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed Bears	62c	16,360$10,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,190.8	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fa…f554backed Bears	26c	16,193$4,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,982.54	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Eagles	20c	16,000$3,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,249	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Bears	26c	15,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,150	239	37.7%90 W · 149 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e5…a929backed Eagles	67c	14,500$9,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,695	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Eagles	1c	14,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	333	28.5%95 W · 238 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Eagles	55c	13,175$7,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,209.06	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d0…b1cebacked Eagles	25c	12,866$3,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,243.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf8…ff52backed Bears	25c	12,857$3,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,634.65	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Eagles	54c	12,407$6,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,666	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.8wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles	48c	12,100$5,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,835	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Eagles	76c	12,000$9,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,120	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Eagles	5c	11,743$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.73	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Bears	56c	11,413$6,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,004.66	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Bears	52c	11,111$5,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,333.26	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Eagles	74c	10,801$8,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,012.59	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Bears	54c	10,601$5,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,910.29	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles	75c	10,535$7,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,890.91	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Eagles	76c	10,376$7,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,885.45	134	50%67 W · 67 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Eagles	48c	10,120$4,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,857.65	144	50%72 W · 72 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Eagles	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Eagles	75c	10,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Bears	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,600	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Bears	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee1…6ac0backed Bears	26c	10,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,400	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.74per pick	26cpaid	+284.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Bears	42c	9,961$4,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,824.26	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Eagles	42c	8,600$3,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,643.42	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…b22ebacked Eagles	75c	8,230$6,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,172.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+75.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Bears	45c	8,132$3,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,481.6	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bears	26c	7,975$2,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,901.31	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Eagles	73c	7,854$5,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,752.44	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Bears	47c	7,451$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,950.96	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Bears	26c	7,154$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,294.27	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Eagles	75c	7,094$5,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,320.31	147	57.1%84 W · 63 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Bears	26c	7,000$1,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,180	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2df3…698bbacked Eagles	33c	6,891$2,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,256.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Eagles	71c	6,796$4,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,838.21	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Eagles	15c	6,437$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.14	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Eagles	52c	6,052$3,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,133	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0630…d067backed Bears	39c	5,992$2,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,655.02	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf58…d161backed Eagles	66c	5,930$3,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,890.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Bears	39c	5,843$2,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,564.1	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Bears	55c	5,791$3,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,588.55	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5488…1609backed Bears	26c	5,755$1,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,258.94	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ba…eee6backed Eagles	75c	5,675$4,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,255.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Eagles	75c	5,669$4,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,249.02	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Bears	40c	5,655$2,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,393.08	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bears vs. Eagles

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event