NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff9fbd4a1752dcafe2723b5379d1827a407a10fb107f50714616b8932a57f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Eagles, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $643,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Eagles | 48c | 131,435$63,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,088.8 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bears | 52c | 110,680$57,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,619.49 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bears | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,999.99 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Eagles | 47c | 96,437$45,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,608.15 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Bears | 52c | 94,532$49,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,375.29 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bears | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bears | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.97 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eagles | 49c | 33,289$16,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,303.25 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Eagles | 48c | 33,036$15,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,857.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bears | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Eagles | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Eagles | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Eagles | 46c | 22,518$10,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,358.17 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles | 47c | 20,521$9,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,729.8 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Eagles | 46c | 18,602$8,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,555.09 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Eagles | 49c | 15,778$7,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,730.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Eagles | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 54c | 11,886$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.56 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Eagles | 46c | 11,070$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,094.18 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Eagles | 48c | 10,415$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.03 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Bears | 53c | 8,923$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.08 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eagles | 48c | 8,800$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bears | 51c | 8,763$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bears | 51c | 7,777$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.73 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…f9e8backed Eagles | 48c | 6,875$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Eagles | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bears | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bears | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Eagles | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 53c | 4,738$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.74 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9607…2d3abacked Bears | 54c | 4,641$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Bears | 48c | 4,375$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Eagles | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bears | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Eagles | 49c | 3,205$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.56 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bears | 59c | 3,095$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Bears | 51c | 3,055$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bears | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…cf3abacked Eagles | 38c | 2,912$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Bears | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Eagles | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Eagles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Bears | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…70aabacked Bears | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Bears | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Eagles | 49c | 1,653$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Bears | 52c | 1,600$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Bears | 60c | 1,530$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.27 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Bears | 54c | 1,494$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.4 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Bears | 54c | 1,361$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Bears | 54c | 1,356$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.56 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Bears | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Bears | 53c | 1,296$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.23 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bears | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eagles | 42c | 1,114$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.17 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Eagles | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Eagles | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Eagles | 47c | 1,000$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.52 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Eagles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Eagles | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.67 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Eagles | 47c | 961.7$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Bears | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Bears | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bears | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bears | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Eagles | 49c | 665.63$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.16 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Eagles | 17c | 622.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Eagles | 49c | 613.55$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Bears | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Bears | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Bears | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Eagles | 47c | 536.17$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Eagles | 46c | 536$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Eagles | 49c | 521.33$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bears | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bears | 6c | 493.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.78 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Bears | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…25febacked Eagles | 48c | 416.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Bears | 52c | 416.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eagles | 9c | 414.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Bears | 52c | 410.08$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Bears | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Bears | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Bears | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Bears | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Bears | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eagles | 47c | 334$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Eagles | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Bears | 53c | 307.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Bears | 52c | 307$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Eagles | 47c | 300.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bears | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Eagles | 45c | 266$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Bears | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Bears | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Bears | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Bears | 53c | 226.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Bears | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Eagles | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Bears won
- Bears vs. EaglesBears won
- Bears vs. Eagles: 1H MoneylineBears won
- Bears vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 36.5Over won
- Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5Under won
- Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5Under won
- Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)Bears won
- Spread: Eagles (-5.5)Bears won
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.