TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x602a…0d75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NFL at 50 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645.39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$609.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,848.89
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200.95
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,612.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,843.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,130.64
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30.6%+$755.38
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$851.2
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+68.7%+$506.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$546
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,998
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,896.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,002.56
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,200
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,882.35
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs The Huns Esports (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,971Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$1,530.52
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+48.8%+$975.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,900
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$319
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,085Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,027.06
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$793.1
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,184.6
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,199.82
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$308.05
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,242
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+82%+$2,499.64
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,960
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$882.82
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,511
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,367.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,275
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.