CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1b43578c2f0bfcdc4f0bb3b0945c4d663d536bdc67321e23025074990c36d97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Vitality, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc350…3669backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 8,277$5,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.31 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 52c | 2,907$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.64 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Vitality | 61c | 2,010$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 62c | 786.38$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.97 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Vitality | 53c | 777$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.41 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 753$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.53 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 631.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 517$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.39 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Vitality | 72c | 442.47$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 353.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vitality | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 280$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Vitality | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 193.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 155.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Vitality | 67c | 148.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Vitality | 74c | 110.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…3ed5backed Vitality | 65c | 101.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Vitality | 56c | 69.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed Vitality | 72c | 68.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…8600backed Vitality | 64c | 50.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…06b1backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Vitality | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Vitality | 77c | 13.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.