TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc759…51ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT8842%37 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$240.45
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+89.5%+$89.49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+57.2%+$100.66
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.5%+$58.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+79.3%+$78.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$127
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$495.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$343
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$297
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+108.6%+$108.65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$163.56
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+48.2%+$192.65
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT7343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$401.93
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$71.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$178.06
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.31
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$71.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$199
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$70.71
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+152.5%+$152.5
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$78.94
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$108.62
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$97.38
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+138.3%+$276.64
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$165.18
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+55.2%+$110.41
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+186.6%+$186.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$162.35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+132.9%+$89.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$118.42
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$614.29
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$130
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+121.5%+$607.35
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$124.65
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: PSG Talon vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$115
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$255
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
Kansas State vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+62%+$86.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.