NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0790f50d30a34d3ba6f95cb4622728e091db52643c75df1abddf860d9d267d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Heat, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,489,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,075,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,489,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Mavericks | 64c | 517,894$333,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,242.46 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Heat | 36c | 122,529$44,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,110.44 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 35c | 100,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 28c | 74,988$21,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,298.5 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Heat | 17c | 63,825$11,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,135 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 35c | 57,387$20,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,359.32 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 29c | 46,441$13,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,582.8 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Heat | 63c | 40,009$25,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,205.43 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 37c | 34,666$12,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,839.76 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 74c | 30,932$22,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 36c | 30,755$10,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,820.76 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 31c | 30,222$9,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,370.66 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 36c | 30,160$10,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,857.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Heat | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 42c | 28,588$11,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,925.25 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 36c | 28,455$10,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,243.81 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Heat | 28c | 26,666$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.15 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks | 37c | 25,200$9,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,875.97 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.88 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Mavericks | 36c | 23,446$8,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,921.34 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Mavericks | 43c | 22,712$9,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,983.05 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Heat | 20c | 18,710$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.18 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Mavericks | 40c | 16,026$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,655.69 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 63c | 15,192$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533.73 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 64c | 14,378$9,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,140.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 63c | 14,020$8,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,827.68 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mavericks | 37c | 12,038$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,583.94 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 64c | 11,688$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Heat | 28c | 11,610$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.06 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 51c | 11,554$5,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948.05 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Mavericks | 38c | 11,009$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 24c | 10,511$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.95 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Mavericks | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Heat | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 64c | 9,805$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Mavericks | 53c | 9,409$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.1 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Mavericks | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.99 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…e10ebacked Heat | 61c | 8,803$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb0…7157backed Mavericks | 39c | 8,791$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Mavericks | 38c | 8,624$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.96 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Mavericks | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.74 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Mavericks | 38c | 7,847$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Mavericks | 38c | 7,400$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.32 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Mavericks | 73c | 7,349$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.78 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Mavericks | 79c | 7,291$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…92cbbacked Heat | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks | 36c | 6,556$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.56 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat | 36c | 6,531$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 36c | 6,255$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.18 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Heat | 62c | 6,091$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.63 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…1b70backed Heat | 17c | 6,035$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…b6d8backed Heat | 62c | 5,500$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Heat | 37c | 5,420$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e90…8525backed Mavericks | 39c | 5,140$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Heat | 22c | 4,586$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Mavericks | 38c | 4,544$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.3 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Mavericks | 61c | 4,173$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.26 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 41c | 4,124$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Heat | 15c | 4,002$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Mavericks | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Heat | 64c | 4,000$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.99 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…cf3abacked Heat | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…46a6backed Heat | 64c | 3,910$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Mavericks | 77c | 3,902$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.78 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…8c1bbacked Mavericks | 37c | 3,890$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heat | 42c | 3,888$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.06 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 62c | 3,778$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.98 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Heat | 63c | 3,502$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Heat | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Mavericks | 79c | 3,396$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.22 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…ce0abacked Mavericks | 36c | 3,241$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Heat | 15c | 3,106$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.67 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Mavericks | 38c | 3,086$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.44 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…2e89backed Mavericks | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Heat | 63c | 2,994$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.97 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks | 43c | 2,822$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.01 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Heat | 35c | 2,700$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 36c | 2,644$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.92 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 64c | 2,637$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.83 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Mavericks | 38c | 2,629$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 1c | 2,560$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks | 57c | 2,515$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Mavericks | 73c | 2,500$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Mavericks | 74c | 2,443$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.3 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Mavericks | 37c | 2,372$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.39 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Heat | 52c | 2,320$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heat | 69c | 2,317$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…83e3backed Mavericks | 37c | 2,300$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 62c | 2,233$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Mavericks | 38c | 2,130$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.6 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Heat | 64c | 2,100$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Heat | 72c | 2,079$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Mavericks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Heat | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Mavericksthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.