TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea34…0a92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST6654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26,247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.2%+$27,347.8
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$69,277.82
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43,262.97
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,576Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+342.4%+$12,244.57
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90,806Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+26.9%+$24,438.68
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,086.79
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+284.6%+$5,582.62
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31,929.09
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14,516.65
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,053Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6,612.95
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$272.73
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38,980Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$16,705.84
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,321.1
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43,477Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30,214.07
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,525Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+175%+$14,921.34
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,842Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,447.79
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79,765Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+150%+$119,646.89
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$7,215.73
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$8,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$8,613.4
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$82,426Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+57.3%+$47,260.54
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90,628.97
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,318.82
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78,018Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$20,762.04
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,833Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+91.6%+$9,920.84
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28,118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20,361.07
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20,188Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+85.3%+$17,218.59
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,014Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11,754.42
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+97.5%+$4,113.42
Twins vs. Royalsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,915Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$4,595.4
Twins vs. Royalsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,985.36
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,878.8
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,881.85
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,924Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$2,885.4
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,425
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$561.68
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.72
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.76
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$7.28
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.27
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.84
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.64
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$9.65
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.62
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.85
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72,058Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+45.8%+$33,007.23
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,184.32
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,426Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$3,721.95
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,915.34
49ers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,170.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparks vs. Dreambacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,074.85
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,976Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+209.8%+$4,145.4
Mystics vs. Libertybacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$892.39
Sun vs. Wingsbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$940
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sam Houston vs. Hawai'ibacked Sam Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,002.16
Troy vs. Clemsonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,692.62
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,823Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$744.43
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.