MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5eefcaf56a6667dbd260dd411c9e912c7bfd6b906b5d3746a2ef04a28ce3d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Nationals, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,143,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,172,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,143,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 34c | 870,766$291,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291,884.83 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees | 66c | 294,100$194,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,994 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Yankees | 67c | 150,000$100,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,500 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 66c | 77,855$51,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,470.7 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 66c | 47,341$31,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,975.23 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 67c | 44,048$29,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,535.76 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 67c | 40,565$27,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,386.44 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 67c | 40,000$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 67c | 35,200$23,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,616 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 67c | 33,724$22,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,128.89 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 33c | 26,555$8,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,763.14 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 67c | 17,529$11,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 67c | 16,210$10,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.04 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nationals | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.98 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 67c | 12,322$8,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.26 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 66c | 11,600$7,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 68c | 10,671$7,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 67c | 9,000$6,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.99 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 35c | 8,707$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.92 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 67c | 7,835$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.55 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 67c | 5,185$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Nationals | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Yankees | 69c | 4,334$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.56 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yankees | 77c | 4,232$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Yankees | 67c | 3,154$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yankees | 67c | 3,034$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.21 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yankees | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nationals | 32c | 2,310$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.19 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 69c | 2,081$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 16c | 1,387$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 66c | 1,386$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.17 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Yankees | 68c | 1,368$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yankees | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.66 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Nationals | 28c | 1,222$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Nationals | 32c | 1,156$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 31c | 1,151$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.78 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 33c | 1,136$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 68c | 1,107$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed Nationals | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Yankees | 67c | 1,066$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yankees | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yankees | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 32c | 945.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 33c | 909$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…647bbacked Yankees | 68c | 882$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yankees | 67c | 841.24$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 67c | 780$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 2c | 764.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 31c | 749.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yankees | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Nationals | 32c | 710.02$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Nationals | 7c | 692.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Yankees | 68c | 572.17$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 66c | 500.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Yankees | 68c | 454.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 31c | 406.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Nationals | 23c | 403$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 32c | 399.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 67c | 369.64$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 78c | 368.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 68c | 335.35$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 33c | 330.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Nationals | 33c | 305.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…6f8abacked Nationals | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 67c | 298.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Nationals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yankees | 69c | 290.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 33c | 266.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yankees | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nationals | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yankees | 68c | 204.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Yankees | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Nationals | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 33c | 159.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Nationals | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…9c24backed Yankees | 47c | 151$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yankees | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 32c | 149.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yankees | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Yankees | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Nationals | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Yankees | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Nationals | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yankees | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yankees | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…e8e4backed Nationals | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Nationals | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yankees | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Nationals | 34c | 99.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Yankeesthis page
- Nationals vs. Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.