TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb006…4eb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,404Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$5,605.6
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,648.2
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,275.2
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,677.9
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,135.4
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,977Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,373.5
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,233.58
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,169.77
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,566.6
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,903.8
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$2,807.84
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,054.1
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$3,056.1
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,908.35
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$530.59
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$1,137.19
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,095.6
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$549.99
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,502Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$960.08
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,040.81
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,084Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,572.08
Royals vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$549.95
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2025, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$571.14
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$510.68
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$494.01
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$1,107.04
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$732.92
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$428.28
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$398.4
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$701.94
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$679.32
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$699.29
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$805
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,298.05
Islanders vs. Lightningbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,643.98
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$919.08
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$371.85
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.35
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$857.85
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$331.32
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$4,100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.