NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b65968ec055f8a9c7215c92b25c4d738a556fc895421d54cae59c7449379b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Senators, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae29…d0c3backed Penguins | 43c | 63,993$27,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,475.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…417fbacked Senators | 57c | 63,957$36,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,455.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Penguins | 43c | 20,158$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,470.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 57c | 8,432$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.42 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 57c | 8,400$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Senators | 59c | 3,660$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.37 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Senators | 57c | 3,198$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.94 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 48c | 2,947$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Penguins | 44c | 2,293$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.54 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 43c | 2,146$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.32 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Senators | 58c | 1,736$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 42c | 1,344$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.96 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 55c | 1,167$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.14 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 57c | 1,131$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.5 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,128$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.13 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Senators | 59c | 1,121$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Senators | 60c | 1,076$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Penguins | 42c | 1,048$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Senators | 58c | 1,048$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Senators | 58c | 1,033$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Penguins | 42c | 1,033$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Senators | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 54c | 920.46$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Senators | 55c | 834$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.67 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 43c | 779.57$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.46 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 46c | 616$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Senators | 60c | 502$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 57c | 420$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Senators | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 57c | 300.36$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Senators | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Senators | 57c | 253.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Penguins | 43c | 249.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Senators | 58c | 195$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…04cdbacked Senators | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Senators | 56c | 177.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Senators | 59c | 169.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Penguins | 41c | 162.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Penguins | 48c | 144.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3e71backed Penguins | 42c | 126.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…4a09backed Penguins | 44c | 120.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…57c1backed Penguins | 43c | 116.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…8dc5backed Penguins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Penguins | 46c | 103.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Senators | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Senators | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Senators | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Senators | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…ff37backed Penguins | 45c | 99.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Penguins | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…036bbacked Penguins | 43c | 91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…df01backed Senators | 58c | 90.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Senators | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Penguins | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Senators | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…bdc2backed Senators | 58c | 84.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Senators | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…a655backed Senators | 58c | 84.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…3bfebacked Senators | 58c | 83.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…33a8backed Senators | 59c | 83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…dd3ebacked Senators | 58c | 81.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Penguins | 42c | 79.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…ede5backed Senators | 57c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2b42backed Senators | 57c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…4bdabacked Senators | 57c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5418…a6eebacked Penguins | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…e0fabacked Penguins | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…654bbacked Penguins | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed Penguins | 43c | 74.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Penguins | 42c | 71.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…f84ebacked Penguins | 44c | 71.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 42c | 62.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…2de4backed Penguins | 43c | 57.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Penguins | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…c63bbacked Senators | 58c | 53.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb396…313cbacked Penguins | 45c | 53.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Senators | 56c | 51.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Senators | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…22b0backed Penguins | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b920backed Penguins | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Senators | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c28…02a1backed Penguins | 44c | 44.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Penguins | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Senators | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…5141backed Penguins | 45c | 42.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Penguins | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…a47ebacked Senators | 59c | 40.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Senators | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Senators | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Senators | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…6c5dbacked Penguins | 46c | 35.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Penguins | 45c | 35.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…a90fbacked Senators | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.