TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda9f…00be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$17.29
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$19.31
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$19.29
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$22.23
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$14.53
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.7
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$26.19
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$14.66
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14.76
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+130.6%+$14.63
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$20.28
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$14.66
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.9
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$21.33
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$16.19
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.65
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$21.13
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.67
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$29.51
Guardians vs. Redsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$19.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$46.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.