TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penguinsof Blue Jackets, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc5aa…3fb9backed Blue Jackets49c83,650$40,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,988.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbd…7706backed Penguins51c83,640$42,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,983.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jackets46c32,941$15,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,1057758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins54c8,400$4,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,86492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Penguins54c7,482$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,441.7230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fb…239abacked Penguins57c6,185$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Penguins53c5,405$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.634151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins51c4,285$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.5636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Penguins57c3,507$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.0227958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Penguins54c2,577$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.811354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Blue Jackets47c2,461$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.9422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blue Jackets48c2,286$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets23c2,089$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.531,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Blue Jackets49c2,023$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f54…8805backed Blue Jackets48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Penguins57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3915261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets3c1,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Blue Jackets23c1,145$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26121620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins54c1,011$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.8597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Penguins66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3407634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Penguins51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Penguins57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed Penguins51c999.76$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.88977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets44c999.07$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.5931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Blue Jackets3c998.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.954330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Blue Jackets49c950$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.521048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Penguins53c939.62$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Penguins56c888$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.721450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaf…1aaebacked Blue Jackets44c888$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…57e0backed Blue Jackets49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…323cbacked Penguins50c800.22$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd008…7790backed Penguins52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins54c760.88$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins54c741$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked Blue Jackets49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Blue Jackets9c546.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.215754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Blue Jackets3c500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163461.8%21 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jackets47c499.32$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Penguins54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.215663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins54c346$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.161,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Penguins52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Penguins54c287.04$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.042751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jackets5c281$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins53c251.17$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets30c234.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.241,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets47c230.87$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.191,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Blue Jackets44c227.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Penguins53c218.06$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins54c216.67$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Penguins57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Penguins57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jackets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Blue Jackets43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a5…ae2fbacked Blue Jackets44c175$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…be07backed Blue Jackets50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Penguins52c164.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0919848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Penguins51c159.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.288451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Penguins52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets47c127.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Penguins52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Blue Jackets49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets15c118.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Penguins51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.657545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Blue Jackets46c113.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2816437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jackets44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3629…e58ebacked Penguins57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…b66cbacked Penguins52c103.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…6db3backed Penguins52c103.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Penguins57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4335154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Penguins52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4826059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…902dbacked Penguins57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Blue Jackets49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Penguins54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4627643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba40…b7b7backed Blue Jackets44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…7621backed Penguins56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3c…2e2dbacked Penguins52c99.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4e…c162backed Penguins52c96.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…745fbacked Blue Jackets50c95.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5150%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Penguins52c95.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6611057.3%63 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5957…75edbacked Blue Jackets50c94.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Penguins53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaae…59f6backed Blue Jackets50c93.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bd5…92dbbacked Blue Jackets50c92.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Penguins66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.919149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f67…e028backed Penguins57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b4d…9785backed Penguins57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…dd89backed Blue Jackets50c86.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Blue Jackets46c82.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0634032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Penguins52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…1be9backed Penguins52c73.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Penguins75c72.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.988644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Penguins57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1811558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Penguins52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3143256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…dad0backed Blue Jackets24c61.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blue Jackets45c57.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6959…a90fbacked Blue Jackets48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5945…ac63backed Penguins54c52.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.943447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.