TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb65d…3757

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Vikings backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$270.4
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$52
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$102
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$78
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+44.9%+$62
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$64
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$957.24
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$142.1
Texans vs. Packersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$146.37
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$43
Lions vs. Cowboysbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$38
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$30
Steelers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$41
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$41
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$38
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$28
Colts vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$58
Cardinals vs. Packersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$32
Commanders vs. Ravensbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.68
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.05
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$57.75
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Everton win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+138.1%+$290
Will Fulham win on 2024-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$426.6
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$432
Will Ipswich win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Southampton win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$65.74
Will Villa win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.35
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+55.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$136
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$186
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$31.54
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+37%+$54
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$73.8
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$82.5
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+103.2%+$101.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.46
Stars vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.15
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+86%+$187.25
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$65.45
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+220.2%+$420.54
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.3
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.Gbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$97.74
Angels vs. Philliesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$217
White Sox vs. Piratesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$174
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick15cpaid+258.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$396.1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+308.4%+$619.2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$370
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+53.8%+$332.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scroll airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.