NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40826ccd6092cf7a8eb5503e78b559a0275545032e16700be9afc1cd25e14a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3510…2492backed Oilers | 0c | 62,395$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars | 57c | 28,652$16,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,394.56 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Oilers | 45c | 19,317$8,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,620.21 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers | 43c | 16,956$7,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,238.7 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Stars | 55c | 12,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Oilers | 1c | 11,980$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…e7c3backed Stars | 57c | 8,615$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 43c | 8,400$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Stars | 67c | 7,731$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.23 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 54c | 5,619$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Stars | 70c | 5,046$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.18 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Oilers | 1c | 5,003$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Stars | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Oilers | 43c | 3,823$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.95 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Oilers | 32c | 3,280$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Oilers | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Oilers | 38c | 2,817$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.15 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Stars | 65c | 2,527$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.03 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 56c | 2,451$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.03 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Oilers | 45c | 2,237$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.48 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 44c | 1,947$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.29 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Stars | 70c | 1,766$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Stars | 59c | 1,670$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Stars | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Stars | 57c | 1,596$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.49 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Oilers | 45c | 1,564$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.11 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers | 43c | 1,354$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.62 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 43c | 1,310$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.34 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Stars | 55c | 1,081$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Stars | 62c | 1,016$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.92 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 56c | 893$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.92 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Oilers | 45c | 880$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Stars | 55c | 830.06$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Oilers | 41c | 790.41$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Stars | 55c | 764.22$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Oilers | 44c | 710$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Oilers | 43c | 699.95$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Stars | 55c | 671.56$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Oilers | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Oilers | 45c | 644.6$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.07 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Oilers | 46c | 624.44$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.28 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Oilers | 43c | 598.43$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Oilers | 45c | 552.87$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 56c | 539$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 63c | 509.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.14 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stars | 55c | 504.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 55c | 494.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Stars | 55c | 385$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Oilers | 45c | 385$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Stars | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Oilers | 25c | 314.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Oilers | 33c | 303.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 56c | 296$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 55c | 288.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Stars | 56c | 259.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Oilers | 43c | 234.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Oilers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Stars | 55c | 214$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Oilers | 7c | 212.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 58c | 206.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Oilers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…e9e6backed Stars | 57c | 196$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…0685backed Oilers | 43c | 196$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…aa3fbacked Oilers | 43c | 185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Stars | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Stars | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Oilers | 44c | 152.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…97d5backed Stars | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Stars | 55c | 148.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Oilers | 44c | 147.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 45c | 125.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…858ebacked Stars | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…b63dbacked Stars | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2780…1d96backed Oilers | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Oilers | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…371dbacked Oilers | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…80e0backed Oilers | 45c | 106.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…1b79backed Oilers | 38c | 104.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Stars | 56c | 100.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Stars | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Oilers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…7481backed Oilers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…db4dbacked Stars | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Stars | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…ece1backed Stars | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…c0d8backed Oilers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Stars | 54c | 99.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…1639backed Oilers | 46c | 99.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b4…913bbacked Oilers | 46c | 97.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23da…a168backed Oilers | 46c | 97.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.