TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf240…03c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT11939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.03
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$151.15
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$97.23
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$225.35
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.38
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$44.5
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$368.82
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,026.28
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST4835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$44.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Will Fluminense beat Chelsea in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$41.45
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$33.87
Will RB Salzburg beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.6
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Botafogo beat PSG?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$115
Will RB Salzburg beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.36
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$463.64
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$281.91
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. Francebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST4136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$66.31
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Will Everton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Brentford win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$460
Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$407.89
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$281.91
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+1,150%+$575
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Everton win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+334.8%+$770
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$155
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,096.82
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+101.2%+$506
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Real Sociedad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Plzen win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Ajax vs. Union St.-Gilloisebacked USG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.33
Will Anderlecht win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Anderlecht vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$71.78
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Viktoria Plzen vs. Ferencvarosbacked Viktoria Plzen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$878.68
Will the match between FC Porto and Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+226.2%+$169.63
Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Bodo Glimt beat FC Twente?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Ajax Amsterdam beat Union St.-Gilloise?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+257.1%+$257.14
Will Anderlecht beat Fenerbahce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.26
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$106.23
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$574.45
Will Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UEFA Nations League Final: Will Ronaldo score 1+ goals against Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Will Denmark beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$355.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+92.2%+$86.35
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$75.03
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.43
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+281.6%+$422.41
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$105.82
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+171.1%+$593.86
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$604.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-83.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$168.61
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$513.91
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+47%+$328.82
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,160.13
Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$87.15
Will Elon tweet 950-974 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$39.71
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$23.25
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+332.5%+$339.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+247.7%+$123.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+132.6%+$65.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$142.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek banned in US before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.