Music · resolved market
Will France be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0dd80324f8b469934b76b2dc35a827e32330b0e13751a984bc346174f67198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…6ca4backed Yes | 0c | 10,660$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 1c | 3,377$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,299$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…47e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 7c | 1,144$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…4c15backed Yes | 2c | 643.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…9267backed Yes | 2c | 624$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…9111backed Yes | 2c | 579.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…3c8bbacked Yes | 2c | 520.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…7951backed Yes | 4c | 370.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…2d38backed Yes | 4c | 364.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…fcd6backed Yes | 4c | 324.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…dbdabacked Yes | 6c | 242.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…d3e8backed Yes | 6c | 185.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…793dbacked Yes | 9c | 179.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…ae47backed Yes | 8c | 163.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?this page
- Will Albania be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Austria be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Belgium be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Czechia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Estonia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Finland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will Italy be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Malta be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Netherlands be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Switzerland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Ukraine be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will another country be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.