Music · resolved market
Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa109868b8fbff44cfbabbb1e18e48d2110077cc5b9234cc196c76db19a06857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 15c | 4,227$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.4 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 16c | 1,631$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 16c | 1,378$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.52 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,087$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.39 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 14c | 958.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 21c | 941$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 14c | 914.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 12c | 899.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.78 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 16c | 879.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.87 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 14c | 863.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.22 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 18c | 806.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.74 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes | 11c | 798.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 16c | 732.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9b…3e1dbacked Yes | 70c | 711.35$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…54e1backed Yes | 18c | 564.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +464.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 19c | 525.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.59 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 15c | 450.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.51 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…4d51backed Yes | 17c | 448.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…139cbacked Yes | 17c | 447.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 13c | 434.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 414$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 15c | 400$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 14c | 332.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 13c | 326.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb7…b4c3backed Yes | 16c | 311.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 14c | 308.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.48 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 22c | 305.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 15c | 299.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 18c | 279.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 15c | 252.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 13c | 246.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.32 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 245.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 18c | 225.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…fa50backed Yes | 19c | 206.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 29c | 201$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 79c | 194.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 75c | 163$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…afa5backed Yes | 9c | 126.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +432.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 13c | 122$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 17c | 120.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 78c | 113.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 18c | 108.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 103$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 16c | 84.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 29cpaid | +265%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 17c | 80.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…85cdbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 29c | 36.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 22 | 95.5%21 W · 1 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 80c | 27.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?this page
- Will Albania be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Austria be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Belgium be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Czechia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Estonia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Finland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will France be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Italy be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Malta be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Netherlands be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Switzerland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Ukraine be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will another country be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.