TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf385…4864

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
333
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Weather, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.2
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+211.8%+$40.08
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.7%+$13.6
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.99
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.4%+$27.51
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.31
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.3%+$20.89
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.1%+$22.42
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+48%+$8.73
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+152.1%+$111.89
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+186.4%+$56.91
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.57
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$8.85
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$19.27
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.08
Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$29.52
Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.63
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.6%+$8.85
Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?backed Girl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.02
Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+275.3%+$48.49
Will Playboi Carti release another album before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.66
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+290.7%+$52.08
Will Nicole Scherzinger win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Jamal Roberts win American Idol season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.72
Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.52
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+150.6%+$45.21
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+34%+$42.14
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$22.72
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.33
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.77
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.56
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+202.1%+$260.23
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.65
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+175.2%+$267.81
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.26
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.1
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+282.5%+$87.86
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$20.36
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+170.7%+$23.16
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT4065%26 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Weather — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$20.41
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.12
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+50%+$16.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.36
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.38
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62–63°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+223.4%+$26.54
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+414.5%+$72.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 61–62°F on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63–64°F on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$19.22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+336.1%+$118.75
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63–64°F on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$39.78
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57–58°F on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58–59°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64–65°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$83.26
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62–63°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+76.8%+$57.59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65–66°F on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56–57°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$17.22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.47
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$32.48
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$13.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69–70°F on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+255.2%+$63.56
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$54.12
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.61
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.5%+$16.83
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+30.9%+$23.81
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$22.96
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.15
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+140.7%+$47.66
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+155.1%+$24.15
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.22
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+105.8%+$51.21
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$41
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$59.04
Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.46
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+112.2%+$137.4
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie?backed Trzaskowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$13.45
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$664.83
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.25
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.89
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.7
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+124.5%+$32.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$26.98
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$50.29
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+59%+$9.59
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+203%+$27.47
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$13.06
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$62.95
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$95.81
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+53%+$39.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.3%+$37.75
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67.56
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.7%+$27.87
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+50.3%+$38.32
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.5%+$25.75
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$59.45
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$57.39
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.24
Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will McLaren have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$94.01
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+45%+$210.04
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+95.8%+$102.78
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italy GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$7.05
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italy GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.19
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italy GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$18.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.43
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.96
NBA Playoffs: Will a #1 seed win the Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.35
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed East · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.52
Will Jayson Tatum Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$8.02
Will Jalen Brunson score the most total points in the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.71
Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.92
Will the Nuggets beat the Thunder 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$15.65
Will the Thunder beat the Nuggets 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.79
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$37.53
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will the Thunder beat the Nuggets 4-2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+150%+$24.6
Will the Cavaliers beat the Pacers 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.3%+$25.81
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$8.2
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26.65
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.01
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$6.45
Will Fartcoin reach $2.00 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.16 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+39%+$17.89
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+106%+$22.5
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$144.41
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31%+$48.76
Will Hyperliquid reach $30 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14.35
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.96
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.62
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.2%+$9.61
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.82
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.24
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+285.3%+$30.35
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.76
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$13.7
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+29%+$9.45
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$17.16
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.72
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+45%+$84
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.37
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$23.64
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+140.5%+$64.03
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.94
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+94.6%+$39.87
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.49
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$200.09
Will Coco Gauff win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$27.88
Will Jasmine Paolini win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.45
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+189.9%+$53.71
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.02
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$16.12
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.25
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.76
Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$52.86
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$14.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.1%+$26.65
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.6
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.06
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$200.33
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$165.17
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$76.35
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$284
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$25.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$202.89
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $65-70m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$35.21
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.97
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross less than $60m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$102.84
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$37.96
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $48-52m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.63
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross less than $40m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$21.26
Will 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.6-2m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$25.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+185.3%+$53.26
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.1
Will the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.89
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$57.4
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$13.53
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.44
Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$16.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.02
Will Napoli beat Parma Calcio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+189.9%+$53.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mallorca beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.94
Will Real Madrid beat Mallorca?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.09
Dream vs Mysticsbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.22
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami beat Orlando City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+104.3%+$32.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+77.6%+$18.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$18.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ousmane Dembélé be named the Champions League Final man of the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.