Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b404449f8cafaec8c6f94ad46b1ef51dff7c9f2340ca60f7bf625b95b89e4f9

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 23, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $436,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $347,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,233 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	8c	23,060$1,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,893.47	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53dd…2a64backed Yes	0c	20,078$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	15,129$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.47	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	21c	9,079$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,951.32	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	59c	8,772$5,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,579.39	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	33c	7,245$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360.45	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc814…1a1ebacked Yes	24c	6,774$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	34c	4,599$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.4	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	68c	4,577$3,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,458.32	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1588…0f2fbacked Yes	6c	4,195$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	19c	4,025$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.79	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	19c	3,445$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.35	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7456…91e9backed Yes	38c	3,283$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.54	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	3,040$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.97	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	2c	2,987$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.66	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	16c	2,823$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.41	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	10c	2,658$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.85	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes	37c	2,614$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.27	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	5c	2,529$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.36	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e3…cb8abacked Yes	35c	2,397$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.77	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6648backed Yes	24c	2,306$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	56c	2,268$1,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.88	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	64c	2,268$1,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.49	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	2,198$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.04	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes	11c	2,000$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.33	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…505ebacked Yes	25c	2,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34a…1e22backed Yes	2c	1,951$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.29	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes	19c	1,937$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.16	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	31c	1,909$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.97	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdba6…79d3backed Yes	16c	1,889$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d6b…fdbbbacked Yes	52c	1,753$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab43…7c23backed Yes	61c	1,733$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.26	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-5.0wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fc6…0522backed Yes	7c	1,729$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.49	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+147.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes	67c	1,649$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	21c	1,620$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.79	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	10c	1,613$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.19	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5947…8bdabacked Yes	21c	1,462$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c1…4017backed Yes	71c	1,425$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.81	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d99…854fbacked Yes	21c	1,419$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.86	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed No	47c	1,404$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.41	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	7c	1,339$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.64	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	1c	1,323$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	4c	1,306$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.13	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	36c	1,304$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb78…73a8backed Yes	66c	1,245$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.98	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	15c	1,239$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x366c…ec01backed Yes	22c	1,212$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.46	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc378…e4a8backed Yes	46c	1,212$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.73	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes	13c	1,181$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.11	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	14c	1,147$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.93	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	10c	1,138$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.2	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e4…51debacked Yes	7c	1,107$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes	8c	1,077$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked No	66c	1,056$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.96	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2324…c779backed Yes	39c	1,039$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+104%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	13c	1,020$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.48	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1b…7b78backed Yes	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa50…8756backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes	25c	999.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+81.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes	2c	989.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4d…d85bbacked Yes	15c	973$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…00c4backed Yes	25c	937.55$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.9	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Yes	6c	923.16$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	32c	888.99$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.48	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	43c	879.98$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.24	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb916…467cbacked Yes	50c	853$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x097f…2d35backed Yes	25c	843.85$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-52%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee1a…b41cbacked Yes	4c	809.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	9cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes	48c	802.25$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.35	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	35c	800$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	16c	795.52$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.28	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes	50c	794.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes	26c	787.64$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.79	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3516…05a0backed Yes	26c	772.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243f…5a02backed No	63c	758.51$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.67	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa600…36c7backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a46…5b84backed Yes	54c	708.74$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.71	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	43c	708.71$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.03	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21cf…e8ccbacked Yes	56c	702.86$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.53	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	20c	700$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.25	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	8c	698.2$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3237…cef8backed Yes	33c	686.37$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4c…d033backed Yes	10c	668.27$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.04	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	44c	663.23$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.05	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1665…cb86backed Yes	36c	662.29$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8610…1bfbbacked Yes	11c	638$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.18	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	19c	617.03$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.24	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83e2…697fbacked Yes	26c	615.89$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc386…28bebacked Yes	19c	614$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb20…ef0abacked Yes	48c	605.63$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	10c	600$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	21c	600$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.2	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes	34c	574.69$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.54	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	46c	563.65$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.02	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	10c	561.7$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.17	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…7512backed Yes	24c	557$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.48	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…0b36backed Yes	60c	550$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.5	77	15.6%12 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	24c	541.5$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.72	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	21c	537.78$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x988e…2226backed Yes	8c	520$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.66	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event