TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a7c…920e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
358
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT19053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$85.38
Giants vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.59
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$61.71
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$20.61
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$64.9
Nationals vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Nationals vs. Twinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT5317%9 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+570.8%+$222.45
Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.59
Will Elon tweet 250–264 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+202.7%+$1,786.2
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$866.32
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+344.5%+$447.86
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+310.4%+$516.68
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$13.46
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.07
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.1
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$52.46
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.73
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.7
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$10.06
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump say "RFK" or "Kennedy" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Trump trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$60.36
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+114.3%+$24.69
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.26
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$23.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$102.35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$89.47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$22.18
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+167%+$75.15
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Aldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156.15
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+101.3%+$60.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.