MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99735256aba1067ecde18f88c843d29c1c6eb96a78d2d0a61302b0a6a0e8ebe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $917,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Twins | 41c | 816,733$336,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480,727.18 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 59c | 291,783$172,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,311.32 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 59c | 123,547$72,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,832.13 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Guardians | 58c | 85,400$49,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,532 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 58c | 65,000$37,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,700 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Guardians | 59c | 47,736$28,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,164.24 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 59c | 45,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 59c | 43,178$25,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,643.2 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Guardians | 59c | 25,100$14,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,809 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.94 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 59c | 19,842$11,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,736.7 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Guardians | 59c | 19,482$11,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,494.38 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 59c | 16,150$9,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,448.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 61c | 13,720$8,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,369.15 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 59c | 13,180$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777.2 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 47c | 12,729$5,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 60c | 10,439$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,263.18 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Guardians | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 61c | 6,671$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 59c | 6,120$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.75 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 62c | 5,599$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.23 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Twins | 40c | 5,123$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.8 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 30c | 4,418$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.41 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Guardians | 60c | 3,777$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.19 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 60c | 3,589$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.19 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Twins | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 59c | 2,800$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Guardians | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 26c | 2,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Guardians | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 59c | 1,909$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.51 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 41c | 1,889$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.52 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Guardians | 59c | 1,794$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.58 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 59c | 1,694$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.46 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 17c | 1,581$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.29 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Guardians | 60c | 1,288$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.58 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Twins | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Guardians | 59c | 1,176$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.95 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 39c | 1,103$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.83 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Guardians | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 25c | 1,066$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Twins | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Guardians | 25c | 833.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Twins | 41c | 713.38$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.97 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 60c | 702.39$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.43 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 61c | 646.79$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.54 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Guardians | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Twins | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Guardians | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 36c | 464.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Guardians | 7c | 450.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 59c | 363.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 40c | 349.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 3c | 334.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 39c | 333$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 59c | 320$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Guardians | 61c | 317.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Twins | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Twins | 76c | 293.86$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Guardians | 27c | 272.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 21c | 260.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 58c | 230$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Guardians | 27c | 229.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Twins | 73c | 228.07$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Twins | 63c | 225$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 23c | 219.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 66c | 212.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Twins | 71c | 204$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Guardians | 41c | 200.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Guardians | 16c | 200.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Twins | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 73c | 199.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 61c | 193$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 44c | 190.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 33c | 184.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Guardians | 37c | 174.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Guardians | 61c | 162.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Guardians | 23c | 152$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Twins | 71c | 145.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Twins | 71c | 144$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Twins | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Twins | 71c | 139$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Guardians | 36c | 129.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Twins | 71c | 122$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Twins | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Twins | 42c | 116.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Guardians | 24c | 105.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Guardians | 25c | 105.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Twins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.