TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ba6…09ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
275
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11329.2%33 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$728.46
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.15
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.5
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$240.92
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$160.41
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$198
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$241.5
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.76
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$314.44
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.3
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.66
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.11
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT8848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+122.6%+$61.31
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+137.5%+$68.77
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+131.8%+$65.88
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Giants vs. Metsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+140.2%+$70.12
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$142
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+113.8%+$273.16
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$60
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.38
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-81.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will Leeds United vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Wolves vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.85
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,003.85
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$51.79
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$100.29
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Botafogo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+220.5%+$418.89
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+240.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+126%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Kara-France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$133
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.