Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1b9b3b5aa5845b3fec80f6daa9c7c5df7080c5b00efa2c1c50211e31f4e5555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 36c | 6,217$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.11 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…997bbacked No | 65c | 5,770$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…80e2backed Yes | 35c | 5,770$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 67c | 1,928$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.94 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Yes | 35c | 1,619$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed No | 65c | 1,616$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 32c | 1,455$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.68 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…dba8backed Yes | 35c | 1,390$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…91b6backed No | 65c | 1,390$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee15…b6dbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,380$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…1f7fbacked No | 65c | 1,380$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,350$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 34c | 1,217$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.66 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 37c | 1,160$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…a6c3backed Yes | 35c | 980$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…0401backed Yes | 35c | 885$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…5783backed No | 65c | 845$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…af56backed No | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…2638backed Yes | 35c | 650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 65c | 644$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 586.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…789dbacked No | 65c | 560$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…0183backed Yes | 35c | 515$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 63c | 475$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…234ebacked Yes | 35c | 470$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 30c | 436.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 34c | 379.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…4e21backed Yes | 35c | 345$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfd…2449backed No | 65c | 340$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…235abacked No | 65c | 315$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 34c | 310.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…dc58backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 36c | 274.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…923fbacked Yes | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…a477backed No | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 78c | 249.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…ff73backed No | 65c | 245$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…a640backed No | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 19c | 226.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…0ae4backed No | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…58c3backed No | 65c | 205$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 63c | 191.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 36c | 188.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…4427backed No | 65c | 185$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed Yes | 35c | 185$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…59a9backed Yes | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…9ae8backed Yes | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 35c | 155.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…4f30backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…5555backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 66c | 113$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 64c | 98.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…9cb4backed No | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…c09cbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…6a00backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…5814backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…3fa6backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 36c | 39.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 33c | 37.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1283…c880backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.