Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b56fd1fe95c64f13ce93b85150b7cdfeae64c5fb4376287c6c3572ae59e293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 39c | 13,550$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280.59 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 61c | 11,224$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,845.7 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 4c | 8,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 8c | 4,312$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 39c | 3,261$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.22 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.28 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 61c | 1,972$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.16 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 30c | 1,860$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.69 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 1,396$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.49 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…9772backed Yes | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…cd5dbacked No | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 71c | 1,255$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.82 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,197$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.01 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 38c | 889.31$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.4 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 62c | 754.33$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.68 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 639.33$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 38c | 563.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 37c | 445.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 38c | 299.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 63c | 292.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 77c | 285.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 38c | 269.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 61c | 220.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 38c | 168.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 57c | 164.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked No | 23c | 155.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…0f9cbacked Yes | 39c | 140.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 110.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 38c | 92.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…9297backed Yes | 39c | 89.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 62c | 87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…1b79backed No | 62c | 86.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…8afbbacked No | 63c | 84.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…1f6bbacked No | 62c | 83.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…64abbacked Yes | 39c | 80.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…215ebacked No | 62c | 77.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…ddb8backed No | 63c | 76.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…d740backed Yes | 39c | 75.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…3d59backed Yes | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 39c | 60.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…1617backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…82ecbacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 52c | 42.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…8cbbbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed No | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…89a6backed No | 62c | 28.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…91e4backed Yes | 39c | 27.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 24.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 62c | 20.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 64c | 18.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.