TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd55c…34fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,300
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST37649.5%186 W · 190 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 376 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50.3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$100
Angels vs. Padresbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$244.78
Royals vs. Astrosbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$88.46
Rockies vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$136.16
Pirates vs. Metsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.36
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.07
Cardinals vs. Philliesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+170.5%+$419.2
Red Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$109.85
Brewers vs. Guardiansbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.22
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.35
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.11
Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.9
Orioles vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$303.78
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$557.78
Giants vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$491.28
Brewers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.46
Reds vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$191.08
Marlins vs. White Soxbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.91
Red Sox vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.32
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$36.05
Rangers vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.51
Cardinals vs. Nationalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+133%+$338.96
Cubs vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$341.33
Showing 25 of 376 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT33348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 333 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.72
Will the Thunder beat the Nuggets 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.97
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.37
Will the Knicks beat the Celtics 4-3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.63
Will the Celtics beat the Knicks 4-3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.18
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$1,045.01
Will the Timberwolves beat the Warriors 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+103.9%+$84.27
Will the Timberwolves beat the Warriors 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.8
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.87
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.54
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$7.32
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.77
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+825.9%+$897.07
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.43
Will the Cavaliers beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.43
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$450.05
Will the Warriors beat the Timberwolves 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.08
Will the Celtics beat the Knicks 4-2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.39
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$154.01
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$182.92
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$151.78
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.16
Will the Knicks beat the Celtics 4-0backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$54.66
Over 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10
Showing 25 of 333 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT29748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 297 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the Washington Capitals be Eastern Conference champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.73
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Hurricanes (To Advance)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.58
NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.7
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.88
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.61
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$167.77
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.56
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.64
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.12
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.92
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.48
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$195.94
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+130.1%+$559.03
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.65
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$47.12
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$224.19
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$147.71
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.6
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$224.12
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$200.71
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be Eastern Conference champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.6
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.09
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$311.59
Showing 25 of 297 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT9751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$89.77
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.76
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.3
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$46.23
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.7
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$35.25
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$46.42
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.87
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.07
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.43
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.08
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.44
Elon vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$78.36
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.75
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.59
Drake vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$34.23
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.81
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$34.42
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.19
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$103.14
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+115.6%+$18
Utah State vs. UCLAbacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.89
Drake vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.99
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT9255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+80%+$123.57
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$120.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$147.24
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.58
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.39
Will Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.86
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$432.45
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28.95
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.81
Will Newcastle vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$161.49
Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$243.05
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.38
Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+400%+$670.14
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$90.23
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$358.31
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$165.72
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$398.67
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.64
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$247.17
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.95
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+75.3%+$74.7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$133.03
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.85
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT5858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.84
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Aldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.85
Grasso vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$29.39
Andrade vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$62.54
Bukauskas vs. Cutelababacked Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.45
Stirling vs. Erslanbacked Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$37.1
Santos vs. Leebacked Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.77
Sandhagen vs. Figueiredobacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.87
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$491.7
Jackson vs. Marcosbacked Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$194.15
Smotherman vs. Sideybacked Smotherman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.46
Stephens vs. Jonesbacked Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.61
Santos vs. Tatebacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$125.55
Loder vs. Bekoevbacked Bekoev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$52.58
Rodriguez vs. Robertsonbacked Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$21.37
Bolanos vs. Lebacked Le · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+144.3%+$268.56
Petersen vs. Mayesbacked Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$243.46
Smith vs. Mingyangbacked Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.41
Pereira vs. Magomedovbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$273.38
Brown vs. Dalbybacked Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$101
Aliskerov vs. Munizbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$80.32
Schnell vs. Flickbacked Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$118.84
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+81.5%+$35.63
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$38.93
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$149.73
Punjab Kings vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.56
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$20
Mumbai Indians vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+154.6%+$416.5
Punjab Kings vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$459.01
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$249
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$135.16
Gujarat Titans vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.83
Rajasthan Royals vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$175.08
Chennai Super Kings vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.4
Delhi Capitals vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+124.2%+$339
Rajasthan Royals vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$209.81
Delhi Capitals vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+104.9%+$51
Mumbai Indians vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$258.8
Chennai Super Kings vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$64.12
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.44
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.82
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.2
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.7
Rajasthan Royals vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.75
Gujarat Titans vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$84.24
Mumbai Indians vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.48
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$324.45
Chennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.04
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$80.7
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.78
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$112.09
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.45
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+158.4%+$636.36
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.23
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$69.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$461.93
Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.57
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.17
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.88
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+91.6%+$250.6
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$154.96
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.