TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes44c22,708$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,707.9410848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Yes62c17,673$10,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,715.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No58c10,330$5,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,952.1213829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c6,168$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.8179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Yes42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes45c3,975$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.329235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No6c3,639$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.175413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No55c3,584$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.8421445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No56c3,049$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.8913857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No55c2,531$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.0617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2211548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed No20c1,986$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.664843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes43c1,538$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.4314156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes43c1,522$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.4644939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes69c1,076$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.956334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5708453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…323cbacked Yes42c980$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes44c863.9$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.7330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8729…9a8dbacked No55c699.95$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6712252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.672035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.672236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…251ebacked Yes70c650.41$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed No56c599.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.994334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes45c500$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Yes62c417.82$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19621153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed No18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked No56c378.93$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.22962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes42c368$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4417447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes44c344.01$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.712650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No46c340$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2918752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked No4c339.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.333053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.584833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1715442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9311761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ba…0627backed No17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes70c285.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.795253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed No58c281.79$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes43c278.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.541747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed No14c274.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked No58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes42c228.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5719460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…6ce4backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.279436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb0…8de9backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes79c147.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed Yes44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.366258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b1…efecbacked Yes44c132.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6db…7587backed Yes69c119.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.838100%8 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+135.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0517234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes52c116.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.674330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2832737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c107$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b8…2d83backed No13c95.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9112342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No55c87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.752060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb063…40d6backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3539…b17bbacked Yes66c76.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c70.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1425637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes45c57.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8114643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.556346%29 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295042%21 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes77c48.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1320744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.516152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4511353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.457659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes79c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes43c44.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.323336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.647146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes50c43.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x09fd…ef65backed Yes43c42.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5acb…e88fbacked Yes43c41.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No55c36.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.319255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d7…e6edbacked Yes67c35.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+391.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No58c34.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.836845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c4…133ebacked Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.335642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e6…1b7fbacked Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.