TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e17…2e74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+175.1%+$1,162.98
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Justin Rose win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+491.8%+$1,376.98
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Brian Harman win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.3
Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$172
Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Tony Finau win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.78
Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Sam Burns be the first round leader at the 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.05
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$378
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.81
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Justin Thomas win the 2025 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$263
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$131
Will Andrew Novak win The 2025 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+223.6%+$447.19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$470.97
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.43
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.33
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$375.07
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$86.53
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+348.1%+$653.16
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$340
All 20 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester Originals win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Birmingham Phoenix win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$258
Will England win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$772.49
Will England win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$581.38
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+80.1%+$319.95
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$139.18
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+144%+$576.19
Mumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Delhi Capitals vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$181.05
Rajasthan Royals vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mumbai Indians vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$279.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will PSG win 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.59
Will Cole Palmer score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+303%+$727.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$320.97
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.47
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England beat Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Will Belgium beat Wales?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Croatia beat Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+101.2%+$202.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+2,170.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.