TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde4d…0b85backed No52c35,586$18,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,079.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4548…2be2backed Yes48c34,614$16,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,614.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc067…a108backed Yes48c28,227$13,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,548.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebfe…2a06backed No52c27,277$14,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,092.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes53c7,953$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.0213857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No52c7,620$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.8230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No47c6,896$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.3217958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Yes48c6,243$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.634252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No52c6,134$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.1413547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No51c3,276$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.6221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00815949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No54c1,973$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.4220744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes49c1,698$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.334843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes49c1,690$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.130666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe97d…5e65backed Yes47c1,400$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes1c1,215$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5813727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…7829backed No52c999.95$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3499…4f27backed No52c972$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes50c963$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked No51c899.93$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.962962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No46c788.01$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes14c682.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.392055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes67c606.95$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.838645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes48c546.17$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.332035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes46c496.83$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.111761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yes49c463.09$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.912850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes69c404.39$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0312037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked No53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No54c340.5$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2618752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No50c338$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes54c331.74$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes34c274.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.25238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed Yes42c240$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.661050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes46c230.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10711252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…1115backed Yes49c226$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes69c218.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4628070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No31c198.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1373537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3129653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3142755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No54c178.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes48c156.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.215442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed No51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yes70c142.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No53c124.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.677651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No49c122$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2452060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed Yes50c120.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No52c116.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.145558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x18dc…dc5bbacked Yes49c109.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1f…bc9fbacked Yes49c109.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…7a3bbacked Yes50c104.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb63c…fca2backed Yes50c104.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8295…bba7backed No52c101.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3273…c205backed Yes49c101.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfe…d12abacked No52c101.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…34c9backed No52c101$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-70.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a2…ecc9backed Yes48c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9400…05e0backed Yes49c98.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd913…96bcbacked No53c98.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c3…ad21backed No53c98.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…41ecbacked No53c96.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd88…1db9backed No52c96.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9577…81c4backed No52c96.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c3…cbddbacked Yes49c95.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1eb…1acebacked No52c95.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x570e…de2dbacked No53c94.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd2…17d9backed Yes12c93.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0b…0791backed No52c92.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…515cbacked Yes49c92.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…e5a8backed No53c91.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1720…e6b1backed Yes50c90.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84e2…2d10backed No52c90.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…9aecbacked Yes48c90.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1a…ceaebacked Yes49c88.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…00c4backed No53c88.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c1…c084backed No52c86.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb11…3136backed Yes50c86.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3b42backed Yes48c85.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76a…355dbacked No53c85.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes48c81.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.937035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe300…f71abacked Yes50c73.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910e…29d2backed Yes49c72.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3d…25b7backed Yes69c65.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc421…cdc8backed Yes69c64.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes49c63.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes49c57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9312357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.624044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No52c53.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.462937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No57c52.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2416955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Yes69c50.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.054663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0814057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.