Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816ac5727860113f15bac8446ab1b56ff99d4fb2f703ec923864516b8259d5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fae…7d62backed Yes | 26c | 9,995$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…ca41backed No | 74c | 9,928$7,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 75c | 1,297$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 66c | 851.95$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 74c | 618.11$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 66c | 370.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 30c | 337.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 333.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…2be2backed Yes | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…82abbacked No | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 25c | 127$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e70…718dbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…65ecbacked Yes | 52c | 119.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 114$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 25c | 91.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Yes | 30c | 91.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 74c | 91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…1806backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Yes | 25c | 63.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked No | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…4979backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 26c | 56.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 52c | 54.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 48c | 54.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…5b7bbacked No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 75c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.