Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44a561ffd9840bbf715ec3da3969309d6943420e28e615ddc0d0f15bcc29376c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 28c | 7,101$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 45c | 5,044$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.55 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 4,100$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 73c | 2,468$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.97 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 27c | 2,146$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.47 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 10c | 2,044$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.67 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 37c | 1,638$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.8 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,617$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…2bcbbacked Yes | 27c | 962.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 31c | 864.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 648.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.78 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 79c | 631.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed No | 74c | 540$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 31c | 382.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 25c | 365.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 347$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 28c | 305.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 74c | 271.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 27c | 159.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…cd61backed No | 74c | 122$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…748bbacked Yes | 26c | 122$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…55e3backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 21c | 88.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 81.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 27c | 80.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 75c | 43.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 42.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 74c | 38.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…8aa5backed No | 77c | 38.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…0f6dbacked Yes | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…6733backed Yes | 69c | 31.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-18?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.