TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fba…bdbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST12254.9%67 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+59.9%+$42.4
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$77.2
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+223.3%+$52.76
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.21
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.68
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.32
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.35
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$347.14
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$936.02
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$72.63
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$119.44
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$322.47
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST7548%36 W · 39 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.21
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.48
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$96.5
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.23
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.97
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,245.71
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$39.54
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.99
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$871.84
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$262.32
Blue Jays vs. Athleticsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.74
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$322.6
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$224.11
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.3
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,473Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$850.9
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3275%24 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$16.06
Will Watford FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.01
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Leeds United vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$61.26
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.46
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$131.25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$35.03
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.09
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$53.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+43.2%+$86.39
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$108.66
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+66.6%+$15.03
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,839Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+42.9%+$788.1
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,394Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+114.6%+$2,744.18
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,896Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+33.3%+$965.45
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$19.92
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$75.41
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.36
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$12.09
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Bills vs. Bears backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Browns vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.44
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$99.93
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$58.35
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.87
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.69
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+47.1%+$317.5
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$1,997.9
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.6%+$26.94
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.46
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.94
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$32.13
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+25%+$3.01
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+25%+$36.72
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+37%+$41.05
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+25%+$35.55
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.79
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$65.26
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+33.3%+$25
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,021.87
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.02
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.94
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.7
Will a candidate say "Crime" 10+ times during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$7.61
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,296.65
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+59.1%+$88.59
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+32.4%+$194.37
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+83.8%+$226.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.65
Will Manchester City vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.95
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$86.78
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$57.15
Will Celtic vs. FC Kairat Almaty end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+75%+$234.93
Will Fenerbahçe vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+68.2%+$697.34
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$379.88
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$118.41
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$50.09
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lynx vs Libertybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fever vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Taylor vs. Serranobacked Taylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+177.8%+$21.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+272.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$47
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+88.2%+$52.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$460.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.8%+$78.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$68.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jackson State Tigers vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.