MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x018cf5211fe13d579c4f08b53c28d461882740b17c895c7276abf9cf1fd46b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $658,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 55c | 117,675$65,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 43c | 89,035$37,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,931.02 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 55c | 61,299$33,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,408.65 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 45c | 48,413$21,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,609.17 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 50c | 45,082$22,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,673.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Phillies | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.95 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 46c | 17,965$8,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,701.1 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 45c | 15,706$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,714.55 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Phillies | 71c | 14,905$10,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,391.92 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.12 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 44c | 13,059$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,322.37 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 54c | 12,360$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678.2 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 58c | 11,894$6,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Phillies | 15c | 11,518$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,733.7 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 30c | 10,520$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Phillies | 61c | 9,301$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.66 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 46c | 8,345$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.78 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Phillies | 13c | 8,170$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.88 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 46c | 6,389$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.06 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 45c | 5,858$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.03 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Dodgers | 55c | 5,100$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Dodgers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 32c | 4,892$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.75 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Phillies | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 55c | 4,075$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.25 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Dodgers | 53c | 3,894$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.69 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 20c | 3,805$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 54c | 3,487$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.02 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 64c | 3,163$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.83 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,512$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.55 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 46c | 2,402$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 69c | 2,094$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.14 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Phillies | 48c | 2,090$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.72 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 34c | 1,754$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Dodgers | 36c | 1,727$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,635$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Phillies | 46c | 1,580$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.43 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Dodgers | 19c | 1,510$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Phillies | 12c | 1,480$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.67 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Dodgers | 14c | 1,372$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Dodgers | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,302$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Dodgers | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 54c | 1,294$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.82 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Dodgers | 69c | 1,160$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 45c | 1,157$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 54c | 1,109$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.81 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Phillies | 45c | 1,057$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.35 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Phillies | 12c | 1,008$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Phillies | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Dodgers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Phillies | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Phillies | 70c | 769$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.03 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Dodgers | 27c | 732.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Dodgers | 55c | 706.96$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.83 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 44c | 698.63$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.19 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 55c | 697.07$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Phillies | 34c | 675.67$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Phillies | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 61c | 648.87$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Phillies | 23c | 599.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Phillies | 50c | 582.06$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 45c | 567.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Phillies | 17c | 530$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Phillies | 23c | 510.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.42 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Phillies | 46c | 508.34$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed Phillies | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Phillies | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Phillies | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Phillies | 54c | 495.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 14c | 493.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 28c | 453.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.24 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Phillies | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Phillies | 28c | 400$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Dodgers | 24c | 396.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…9089backed Dodgers | 20c | 370$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked Dodgers | 15c | 369.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Phillies | 46c | 358.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Phillies | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Phillies | 47c | 335.69$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 11c | 305.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Phillies | 46c | 299$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Phillies | 66c | 298.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Phillies | 49c | 292.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phillies | 58c | 257.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Phillies | 80c | 251$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Dodgersthis page
- NRFI: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.