TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fbc…a89c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT4829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$244.99
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.89
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$280
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$395
Wimbledon Final – Will Swiatek win by 4+ games? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Novak Djokovic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$164.1
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$110.01
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Novak Djokovic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5
Will Novak Djokovic win 3:0 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:1 against Taylor Fritz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.53
Alcaraz vs. Fritz – Will Alcaraz win by 6+ games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will Liudmila Samsonova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+95.8%+$341
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Will Emma Navarro win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon: Samsonova vs. Maneiro (W) backed Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Wimbledon: Kecmanovic vs. Djokovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$285
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.44
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$887.2
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+377.9%+$1,708.62
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.45
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.3
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+366.9%+$397.87
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.62
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Orioles (-1.5)backed Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$15.96
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Yankees vs. Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$290
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$365
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.98
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.99
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$350
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+269.8%+$381.41
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid vs. Olympique Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.99
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Union St. Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$355
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$456
Will Real Madrid beat PSG in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$248
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$336
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$311.99
Will Fluminense beat Chelsea in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.44
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.52
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$327.99
Will Fluminense vs. Al Hilal end in a draw after regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$36.86
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+246.2%+$302
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.7%+$350.15
Will Lewis Hamilton finish in 3rd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$16.63
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$54.18
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$180
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$163.22
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.05
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$210.04
Hadjar vs. Tsunodabacked Hadjar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.72
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.07
F1 British Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$340
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$190
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$195
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.4
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$254.99
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$22.68
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$19.53
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.48
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$25.8
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$193.56
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.61
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$259.99
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.41
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+150%+$239.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$764
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,139.98
Will Anyone's Legend win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.37
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$716.75
Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.08
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$941
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$232
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$200
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$164.65
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOIbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$228.82
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$272
MSI Playoffs: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$206
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Flying Oysterbacked Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
MSI Playoffs: Movistar KOI vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FNC vs GXbacked GX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$740
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$940
LoL: BFXY vs DNF.Cbacked DNF.C · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$230
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$395
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
UFC Fight Night: Murphy vs. Mourabacked Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Raiders: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.31
Buccaneers vs. Texans: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$1,422
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.