TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOI

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CTBCof CTBC, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed CTBC59c171,663$101,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,559.5436433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Movistar KOI41c159,396$65,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,352.359020%18 W · 72 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Movistar KOI39c53,471$20,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,963.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Movistar KOI40c21,373$8,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,573.2621740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked CTBC58c15,032$8,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,313.443852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Movistar KOI41c14,777$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,058.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed CTBC59c10,516$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.367357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed CTBC58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20028746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Movistar KOI41c8,552$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.4920557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked CTBC58c6,037$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.5316439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed CTBC57c6,008$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.366245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Movistar KOI0c4,806$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed CTBC64c3,989$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.473964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed CTBC73c3,320$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.6111452.6%60 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Movistar KOI33c3,127$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.427557.3%43 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6591backed CTBC74c2,620$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed CTBC59c2,350$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.891866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Movistar KOI32c2,118$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.033,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked CTBC59c1,885$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.8592450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Movistar KOI42c1,550$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked CTBC59c1,529$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.7641752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed CTBC58c1,037$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.215854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed CTBC56c1,020$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked CTBC58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Movistar KOI44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4407444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Movistar KOI42c715.95$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.72638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed CTBC59c696.86$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.356363.5%40 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Movistar KOI43c579.91$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2473751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Movistar KOI40c549.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked CTBC57c527.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.821540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked CTBC57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21551852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Movistar KOI42c466.67$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19614761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked CTBC59c464.88$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.616236.4%59 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0882…1526backed Movistar KOI42c449.98$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked CTBC58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.032378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9df…d8bcbacked CTBC59c412.1$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.961546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b8…66b8backed CTBC59c400$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Movistar KOI25c398.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5216828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5a18backed CTBC58c390$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.71861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+98%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI40c388.67$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.311,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c9…d707backed CTBC78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d6d…e803backed CTBC59c338.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.814339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed CTBC61c313.51$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.473548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked CTBC59c311.75$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8212360.2%74 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed CTBC59c290$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.94119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaae…ee3cbacked Movistar KOI6c281.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75de…e53cbacked CTBC75c274.24$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f9b…7829backed CTBC56c271.37$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.47561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x074d…bcb6backed CTBC59c255.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked CTBC59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.247057.1%40 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed CTBC59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2415551.6%80 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed Movistar KOI22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.312119%4 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0db9…d97cbacked CTBC80c249.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9916342.9%70 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0bb…a95bbacked Movistar KOI41c247.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.493844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Movistar KOI43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8627632.6%90 W · 186 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…cf0abacked Movistar KOI25c190$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656a…f720backed CTBC59c184.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.062740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec2…cb66backed CTBC62c181.69$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.832850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked CTBC76c175$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9800…8318backed Movistar KOI43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed CTBC64c171.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.529758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…d40cbacked CTBC59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed CTBC59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497143.7%31 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00a…8c85backed Movistar KOI30c162.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Movistar KOI41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Movistar KOI43c141.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9332350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa3b…0061backed CTBC79c136.66$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.031471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked CTBC75c134.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked CTBC74c128.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.969451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a10…023fbacked Movistar KOI41c123.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked CTBC60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked CTBC71c114.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8513164.9%85 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed CTBC59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.15547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de3…069ebacked Movistar KOI16c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed CTBC63c107.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.891,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed CTBC59c104$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.641275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Movistar KOI42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4227452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9805…610abacked CTBC58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e01…65dbbacked Movistar KOI29c99.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9590…be30backed Movistar KOI27c93.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd713…a7d4backed Movistar KOI44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07be…8bf9backed CTBC60c88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.26955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc8…e126backed Movistar KOI35c86.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x619a…02b6backed CTBC59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9be8…76f3backed CTBC59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d44…c828backed CTBC59c83.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.362450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b4…b0f3backed CTBC71c78.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb78…3acfbacked Movistar KOI45c71.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.31650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ad…2663backed CTBC60c71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.611338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…8389backed Movistar KOI17c70.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc061…a297backed CTBC58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…3ea6backed Movistar KOI42c68.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.782544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ee…cf38backed CTBC75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Movistar KOI42c63.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.244128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed CTBC56c59.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.016723.9%16 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…35ecbacked Movistar KOI44c56.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked CTBC59c53.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.117466.7%116 W · 58 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98c2…66a8backed CTBC58c53.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe936…8944backed CTBC80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Movistar KOI41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.