TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0bb…a95b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$74.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$36.51
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.63
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.29
Will Movistar KOI win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.02
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$44.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$74.01
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.34
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.51
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+99.2%+$197.41
LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corpbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
League of Legends: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitalitybacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+230.2%+$146.4
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corpbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$8.48
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Team Vitalitybacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
League of Legends: Fnatic vs. G2 Esportsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GIANTXbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$23.43
Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Movistar KOI win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.78
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. T1backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+300%+$225
League of Legends: FURIA vs. FlyQuestbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. CTBC Flying Oysterbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$124
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-57.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+107.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Boxing: TheGrefg vs Westcolbacked TheGrefg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$32.08
Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás Mazzabacked Viruzz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$162.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+195.5%+$329.56
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+104.6%+$117.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KOI vs G2backed KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.