Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: FURIA vs. FlyQuest
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0826831a7bb2f52e9c6848b69ae626770778ba35b35688e56e37fab81df12412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FURIA, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked FURIA | 27c | 87,411$23,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,976.15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 50,993$37,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,797.22 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed FlyQuest | 72c | 27,920$20,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,917.1 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 30c | 20,639$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.18 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed FURIA | 6c | 13,496$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.14 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed FlyQuest | 73c | 10,173$7,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.73 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed FlyQuest | 70c | 7,330$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.3 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FURIA | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked FURIA | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed FlyQuest | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 2,653$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.78 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed FURIA | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 1,550$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked FURIA | 7c | 1,550$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 1,504$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.61 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 21c | 1,490$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.93 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 28c | 1,300$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 1,100$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.99 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FlyQuest | 72c | 978.14$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.88 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 930.11$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked FURIA | 9c | 900$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked FURIA | 6c | 725$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed FlyQuest | 72c | 694.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked FlyQuest | 76c | 522.76$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FlyQuest | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked FlyQuest | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…3816backed FURIA | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed FURIA | 18c | 433.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FURIA | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed FlyQuest | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 373.83$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed FURIA | 30c | 349.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 28c | 314.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed FlyQuest | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked FURIA | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked FlyQuest | 71c | 291.38$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed FlyQuest | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…1da1backed FURIA | 23c | 251.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed FlyQuest | 73c | 242.7$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed FURIA | 8c | 233.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…d8d1backed FURIA | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed FlyQuest | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed FURIA | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…0061backed FlyQuest | 80c | 199.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 28c | 182.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…c828backed FlyQuest | 73c | 153.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed FURIA | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…ee5abacked FlyQuest | 70c | 141.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8a55backed FlyQuest | 79c | 139.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 139.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked FURIA | 18c | 112.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked FURIA | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed FURIA | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed FlyQuest | 70c | 70.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed FlyQuest | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed FlyQuest | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed FlyQuest | 70c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed FURIA | 22c | 59.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…3611backed FlyQuest | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed FlyQuest | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked FURIA | 19c | 52.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed FlyQuest | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked FURIA | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed FlyQuest | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed FURIA | 28c | 43.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 31.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…cc91backed FlyQuest | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 26.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…62f3backed FlyQuest | 76c | 21.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed FlyQuest | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…11a8backed FlyQuest | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.