TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa5f…005f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT9466%62 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$401.52
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$223.7
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.22
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.19
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$28.13
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,679Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,795.8
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$89.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.7%+$470
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15,008Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+41.5%+$6,227.69
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,394
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$800
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.1%+$400.59
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$430.9
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.62
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$510.51
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$149.34
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+43.9%+$61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$140.14
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3,680
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.1%+$37.57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$114.81
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,151.63
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560.77
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,043Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.7%+$3,908.6
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,591.18
Qatar Total Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15,497Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25.3%+$3,919.02
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Titouan Droguetbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$494.52
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,716Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4,172.71
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+76.7%+$114.96
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+52.8%+$190
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+41.5%+$4,298.01
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$30
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$374.63
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+68.7%+$73.57
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$57
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.23
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$445.01
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$209.24
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
ATP Toronto – Shelton vs. Fritzbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,589Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$1,686.25
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2680.8%21 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$90
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59,677.23
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12,400
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+70.3%+$946.66
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.8%+$2,301.65
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$364.01
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.1%+$141.94
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$79.17
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.31
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+59.5%+$70.6
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.3%+$32.43
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$420.85
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,239.6
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+28.4%+$72.49
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.25
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$187.62
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$102.99
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$217
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$39.76
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23,978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+68%+$16,293.59
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.4%+$418
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$319.87
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$223
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$146.89
Brewers vs. Cubs Series Winnerbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$69.85
Phillies vs. Dodgers Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$43.39
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Dodgers vs. Reds Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$93
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.4
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,949
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32,274.7
Guardians vs. Royalsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$151.57
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
White Sox vs. Raysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+78.5%+$128.15
Will Oneil Cruz win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$121.35
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$39.06
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$259
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$114.58
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$48.6
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,433.1
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$67.5
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$814.69
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,080
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick75cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$47.06
Leagues Cup Winner – MLS or Liga MX?backed MLS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10,836.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,710.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.