Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46769abdaeb278ab2f5e26ee746a5a41a5a13c4453a1b7ccd97b3975c3cc2455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 25c | 15,144$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.54 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 75c | 9,079$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.55 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Over | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042b…bbf1backed Over | 75c | 1,434$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.84 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 17c | 908.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 80c | 625.28$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 27c | 499.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Over | 76c | 323.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 322.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 24c | 312.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 21c | 310.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 60c | 295$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 39c | 286.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…489fbacked Over | 71c | 255$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 31c | 221.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…0501backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…2d03backed Under | 21c | 189$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Over | 66c | 182.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 139 | 66.9%93 W · 46 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…90c9backed Over | 76c | 168.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Over | 60c | 165.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 24c | 154.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Over | 74c | 144.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 39c | 141.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Over | 60c | 132.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 80c | 121.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…e2a6backed Over | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 23c | 100.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…f848backed Under | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 27c | 53.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 60c | 52.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Over | 76c | 33.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…2fdfbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked Over | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+2.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.