TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc918…f848

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,465
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$26.78
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Team USA Stars vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team USA Stripes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Keshad Johnson win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.3%+$49.82
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$24.36
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+128.5%+$21.68
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$110.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29%+$147.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.9%+$132.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+36.3%+$544.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+32.9%+$328.89
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.4%+$53.43
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$55.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$22.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$132.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.4%+$66.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$151.2
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+46.4%+$23.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$107
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.