CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cfe218b8474608c69df655ecaf6328204e8247a6be6565deff8b6ea5b9d8609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof 1WIN, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed 1WIN | 1c | 8,388$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 71c | 2,131$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN | 51c | 1,197$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed 1WIN | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…b446backed magic | 45c | 1,008$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked 1WIN | 2c | 969.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed 1WIN | 41c | 827.1$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1WIN | 27c | 774.88$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed 1WIN | 39c | 769.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 29c | 510.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed magic | 39c | 500.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…7a0abacked magic | 70c | 472.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed magic | 48c | 443.86$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.63 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…fbe5backed magic | 75c | 405.39$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed 1WIN | 49c | 405.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 28c | 390.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed 1WIN | 53c | 388.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed 1WIN | 53c | 378.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 60c | 367.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…29e8backed 1WIN | 53c | 365.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 1WIN | 21c | 357.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 1WIN | 29c | 346.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked magic | 50c | 287.93$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…fd32backed magic | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…71fabacked 1WIN | 50c | 265$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5764…3924backed 1WIN | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…7eaebacked magic | 50c | 255$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1WIN | 7c | 219.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked 1WIN | 77c | 213.53$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed 1WIN | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 45c | 187.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…20e7backed magic | 63c | 164.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked magic | 65c | 158.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed magic | 34c | 118.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…f848backed magic | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…fd51backed magic | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed 1WIN | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed magic | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 1WIN | 38c | 94.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…d9b9backed 1WIN | 56c | 71.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed magic | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed magic | 38c | 67.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 1WIN | 47c | 63.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed magic | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…7cedbacked 1WIN | 64c | 55.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed 1WIN | 51c | 54.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed magic | 73c | 54.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed magic | 52c | 53.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked 1WIN | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed magic | 59c | 51.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked magic | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…51ddbacked magic | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed magic | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked 1WIN | 57c | 41.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed magic | 48c | 35.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 1WIN | 29c | 34.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed magic | 56c | 32.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed magic | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…5a4ebacked 1WIN | 36c | 30.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked magic | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed magic | 43c | 29.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed magic | 58c | 28.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…f020backed 1WIN | 72c | 28.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…de8ebacked magic | 42c | 28.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed magic | 47c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed magic | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed magic | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3c81backed magic | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed magic | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed magic | 65c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed 1WIN | 65c | 23.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…cd58backed magic | 69c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed 1WIN | 58c | 21.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked magic | 47c | 21.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked 1WIN | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…4917backed magic | 75c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed magic | 71c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…3c1ebacked 1WIN | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.