TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe35e…20e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+68.6%+$15.84
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+197.7%+$23.38
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+55.6%+$12.19
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.4%+$28.83
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+65.3%+$7.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.06
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.01
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.27
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Refuser - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25.8%+$6.15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Refuser - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+36.3%+$36.97
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Roar Gaming (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Roar Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.3%+$28.32
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+48.6%+$19.02
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+41.8%+$15.46
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$161.68
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs MIBR (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.2%+$34.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.8%+$10.6
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59%+$61.07
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Bbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+74.8%+$29.47
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.2%+$20.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+70.9%+$8.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Favbet (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.3%+$21.63
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Abacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.5%+$9.57
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.4%+$19.11
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+50.1%+$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.