TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex58c9,970$5,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,187.8713155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Team Liquid42c2,619$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Liquid42c2,435$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.5733644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid40c1,990$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.3573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid44c1,879$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.681,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid42c1,250$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9946535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Team Liquid29c861.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Team Yandex59c676.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.883441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Team Liquid44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2648543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid45c444.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1362650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Liquid42c428.57$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020727.5%57 W · 150 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Team Liquid43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17233541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed Team Yandex70c385.75$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.733844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid43c361.02$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.861,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Team Liquid42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Liquid42c314.29$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13215250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid40c312.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid34c294.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6280742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex59c257.49$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5729245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid34c254.44$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6314142.6%60 W · 81 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Yandex67c223.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0918053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Team Yandex65c210$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.89756.7%55 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Liquid42c205.95$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.51850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8417133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Team Liquid45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Team Yandex55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Team Liquid42c199.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex59c181.08$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5167853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Liquid26c180.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…846ebacked Team Yandex57c174.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex60c173.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex73c167.43$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6698…e620backed Team Yandex58c159.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.192556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x403f…2b6bbacked Team Yandex41c152.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Liquid41c152.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Liquid43c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.813251.5%68 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.553757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Team Yandex71c139.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9812965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Team Yandex70c127.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.075935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Liquid41c125.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8913733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid26c114$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex55c110.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6290756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid43c104.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.081,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Team Yandex60c100.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.523056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Yandex59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4113657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Team Liquid42c99.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Team Liquid40c93.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3922845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex51c91.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.822,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Yandex57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.728061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc579…57bfbacked Team Liquid25c87.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.94520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed Team Yandex59c84.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5520535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Team Liquid45c82.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378957.3%51 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid49c81.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed Team Liquid45c73.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1515341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex63c73.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Team Liquid42c69.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2710136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Team Yandex23c68.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54027.5%11 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed Team Yandex78c67.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acf…1179backed Team Liquid77c65.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Team Liquid22c59.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.498934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Team Liquid42c57.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.351338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Team Yandex59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.411348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Yandex58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Liquid42c49.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.819836.7%36 W · 62 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a2f…c523backed Team Liquid29c48.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Team Liquid43c48.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…43a2backed Team Liquid37c43.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd272…fa58backed Team Yandex67c43.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.142145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f97…5b07backed Team Liquid42c38.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x796a…9659backed Team Yandex56c37.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e7f…6d97backed Team Liquid28c36.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.345839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f9…5a03backed Team Liquid42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Team Liquid43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511836.4%43 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf82…6c06backed Team Liquid45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155927.1%16 W · 43 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Team Liquid38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe63b…b7c9backed Team Liquid43c29.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35e…20e7backed Team Liquid74c27.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd690…40e5backed Team Yandex58c25.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked Team Liquid43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5285…1457backed Team Yandex56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Team Yandex77c24.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex74c20.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4355751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.