Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dfba1ccbe9c6157700325ef8ade488b8040dee47b4b099a53e2ca08e92256fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex | 58c | 9,970$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.87 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 2,619$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 2,435$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.57 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,990$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.35 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,879$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.68 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Liquid | 29c | 861.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Yandex | 59c | 676.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Liquid | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 444.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Liquid | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Team Yandex | 70c | 385.75$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 43c | 361.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 314.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 312.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 34c | 294.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex | 59c | 257.49$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 34c | 254.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 223.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Yandex | 65c | 210$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 205.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Liquid | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Team Yandex | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Team Liquid | 42c | 199.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex | 59c | 181.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Liquid | 26c | 180.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 174.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 173.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 73c | 167.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed Team Yandex | 58c | 159.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 152.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Liquid | 41c | 152.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Yandex | 71c | 139.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Yandex | 70c | 127.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Liquid | 41c | 125.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 110.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 43c | 104.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 100.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Yandex | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 99.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 93.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 51c | 91.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…57bfbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 87.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Yandex | 59c | 84.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Team Liquid | 45c | 82.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 49c | 81.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Liquid | 45c | 73.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex | 63c | 73.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 69.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Team Yandex | 23c | 68.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Team Yandex | 78c | 67.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…1179backed Team Liquid | 77c | 65.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Team Liquid | 22c | 59.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Team Liquid | 42c | 57.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Yandex | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 49.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2f…c523backed Team Liquid | 29c | 48.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Team Liquid | 43c | 48.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…43a2backed Team Liquid | 37c | 43.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…fa58backed Team Yandex | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…5b07backed Team Liquid | 42c | 38.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…9659backed Team Yandex | 56c | 37.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6d97backed Team Liquid | 28c | 36.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…5a03backed Team Liquid | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Team Liquid | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Team Liquid | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Team Liquid | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Team Liquid | 43c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…20e7backed Team Liquid | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…40e5backed Team Yandex | 58c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…1457backed Team Yandex | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Team Yandex | 77c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex | 74c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.