TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc579…57bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tweets, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 51 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.67
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$51.58
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.68
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.28
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - Journey Group Dbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$17.87
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+86%+$195.24
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$119.93
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.77
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.5
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.45
Valorant: Riddle vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1backed Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$14.27
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Valorant: SaD Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked FUSION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+57.9%+$34.74
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$57.7
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.92
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+39.8%+$38.95
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$84.94
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.9%+$33.87
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$63.36
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+60.1%+$113.77
Valorant: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Valorant: DRX vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34.12
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+146.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.