CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe65abb1160072bed633ba42ea39a7f208d42f7abe372a351588e2453113537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $904,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,037,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $904,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 713 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 21c | 100,000$21,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,936.06 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spirit | 78c | 90,976$71,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,348.24 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spirit | 80c | 35,163$28,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,107.99 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Astralis | 20c | 30,146$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,113.64 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Astralis | 20c | 27,818$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,311.06 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Spirit | 80c | 17,777$14,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,221.6 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis | 20c | 17,156$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,696.56 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis | 43c | 13,855$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,845.81 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 58c | 13,541$7,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.06 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 79c | 13,214$10,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,501.23 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit | 80c | 12,608$10,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,086.35 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 50c | 12,250$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.84 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 79c | 10,066$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Astralis | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Astralis | 21c | 9,251$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,307.92 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis | 51c | 8,802$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.06 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Spirit | 79c | 8,656$6,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,838.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis | 75c | 8,581$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.89 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spirit | 7c | 8,448$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.58 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 60c | 8,340$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Spirit | 54c | 8,285$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.88 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 23c | 7,044$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.78 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Astralis | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.99 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Spirit | 64c | 6,285$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.2 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 69c | 6,106$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.29 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Astralis | 53c | 6,063$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.49 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Astralis | 21c | 5,945$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.52 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Spirit | 66c | 5,859$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.2 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 52c | 5,802$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.05 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Spirit | 79c | 5,760$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 44c | 5,726$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.92 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Astralis | 52c | 5,500$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.97 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 39c | 5,463$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.87 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Spirit | 50c | 5,206$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.83 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Spirit | 73c | 5,060$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.57 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked Spirit | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis | 64c | 4,968$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.8 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Spirit | 79c | 4,800$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed Spirit | 79c | 4,800$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 59c | 4,750$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.44 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…fe44backed Spirit | 53c | 4,629$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +1,975.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 54c | 4,560$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.78 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Astralis | 39c | 4,535$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.69 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Spirit | 79c | 4,508$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis | 21c | 4,500$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.98 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Spirit | 48c | 4,500$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.96 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Spirit | 79c | 4,487$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 21c | 4,432$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.92 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spirit | 17c | 4,225$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.39 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…789abacked Spirit | 80c | 4,085$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 61c | 4,072$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.77 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Astralis | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Spirit | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Spirit | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Astralis | 21c | 4,000$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.32 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…ab99backed Spirit | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 3c | 3,992$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 42c | 3,893$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Spirit | 65c | 3,844$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit | 78c | 3,746$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.22 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…76eabacked Spirit | 52c | 3,713$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.18 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Spirit | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Astralis | 21c | 3,500$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.53 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Spirit | 44c | 3,495$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 79c | 3,403$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.14 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Spirit | 79c | 3,383$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.01 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 51c | 3,269$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.87 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Spirit | 79c | 3,167$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.9 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 17c | 3,163$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.68 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Spirit | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Spirit | 18c | 3,036$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.21 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Spirit | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Astralis | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Spirit | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.83 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Astralis | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 31c | 2,951$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.79 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Spirit | 49c | 2,941$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.13 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Spirit | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 59c | 2,880$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.34 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 48c | 2,683$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.99 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Spirit | 38c | 2,675$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis | 46c | 2,564$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.63 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Astralis | 21c | 2,549$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.55 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Astralis | 20c | 2,527$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Spirit | 51c | 2,513$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.61 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Spirit | 80c | 2,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 20c | 2,481$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.93 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed Spirit | 79c | 2,441$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.46 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Astralis | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Spirit | 48c | 2,313$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.14 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Astralis | 31c | 2,277$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.85 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…ffeabacked Spirit | 80c | 2,165$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spirit | 69c | 2,164$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Spirit | 49c | 2,138$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…7336backed Spirit | 80c | 2,125$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Spirit | 56c | 2,095$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.